Atlético Tucumán Res. vs River Plate Res.

River Plate Res. look more solid defensively, with 24 goals conceded in 27 matches and 11 clean sheets, compared with Atlético Tucumán Res.’s 36 conceded in 25. That defensive gap suggests fewer clear-cut chances for the home side, which supports a lower-scoring game. On scoring, River Plate Res. also have the edge with 41 goals scored versus Atlético Tucumán Res.’s 29. Even so, the overall goal profile still leans toward restraint because Atlético’s recent form is mostly losses and draws (LDDLL), while River’s recent results are very mixed but not heavily goal-driven (DWDWD). The market-style probabilities align with this: both teams to score is only slightly more likely than not (51.8%), and the chance of over 2.5 goals is below half (46.1%). With those signals, an Under 2.5 goals call fits best, though the medium risk remains because River can still win and potentially create enough scoring to push the total above 2.5.