Primera B
Finished
Medium risk

Antofagasta vs Santiago Wanderers result & prediction review

00Full time
Thu, Aug 13, 12:30 AMEstadio Regional de Antofagasta

AI prediction

BTTS Yes

Confidence 72/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
Medium risk

BTTS Yes

Antofagasta (DWWLD) project at 1.5 expected goals versus 1.2 for Santiago Wanderers (DWWWL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 72/100 confidence with medium risk.

Confidence

72/100

Confidence
72/100

Strongest cover

12

73.0% probability

Risk classification

Medium

27.0% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

A win44.1%
Draw27%
SW win28.9%

Goals

Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.549.8%
Under 2.550.2%

Both teams to score

Yes54.2%
No45.8%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Antofagasta

8/15 recent form points

DWWLD
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.71
Shots on target
Unavailable

Santiago Wanderers

10/15 recent form points

DWWWL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.67
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 5/10 and Over 2.5 in 8/10.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2026 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
Medium · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Antofagasta 0-0 Santiago Wanderers

2026-08-13T02:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Santiago Wanderers 2-2 Antofagasta

2026-03-22T16:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Antofagasta 4-1 Santiago Wanderers

2025-07-27T18:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Antofagasta 2-3 Santiago Wanderers

2025-07-01T01:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Santiago Wanderers 3-0 Antofagasta

2025-06-08T18:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Santiago Wanderers 4-0 Antofagasta

2025-03-11T00:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Antofagasta 1-2 Santiago Wanderers

2024-10-13T17:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Santiago Wanderers 1-2 Antofagasta

2024-05-26T18:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Santiago Wanderers 3-0 Antofagasta

2023-09-24T17:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Antofagasta 0-1 Santiago Wanderers

2023-05-16T21:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the BTTS Yes lean for Antofagasta vs Santiago Wanderers. Data angle: the model weights recent form, attack and defensive stability. Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed. Risk warning: Medium risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Recorded forecast

Final score

0-0

Pre-kickoff call

BTTS Yes · 57.8% → Lost

Ranked probability score

0.1422 (uniform ≈ 0.222)

Recorded Thu, 13 Aug 2026 00:04 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.

Team hubs: Antofagasta predictions · Santiago Wanderers predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.