Jaiyq vs Shakhter Karagandy prediction
0–01′
AI prediction
Away Win
Confidence 77/100
Away Win
Jaiyq (WLDLW) project at 0.8 expected goals versus 1.6 for Shakhter Karagandy (WWWWW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Away Win at 77/100 confidence with low risk.
Confidence
77/100
Strongest cover
X2
95.5% probability
Risk classification
Low
11.6% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
2 sources
19 price observations
Full distribution
Market probabilities
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Evidence ledger
Jaiyq
7/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 0.95
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Shakhter Karagandy
15/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 2.95
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Matchup xG signal
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 0/1 and Over 2.5 in 1/1.
Price interpretation
Value read
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
Model card
- Version
- livewin-hybrid-v0.6
- Data source
- Licensed live data feed
- Statistics baseline
- 2026 season
- Odds timestamp
- Sep 11, 08:48 AM UTC
- Optional coverage
- H2H available · odds available
- Confidence
- Signal agreement score
- Risk
- Low · uncertainty remains
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.
Head-to-Head
Shakhter Karagandy 3-0 Jaiyq
2026-06-19T15:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
Odds Comparison
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Home 1X2 | MarathonbetBest price | 17.50 | 5.7% | 4.5% | -1.2% |
| 1xBet | 17.50 | 5.7% | 4.5% | -1.2% | |
Draw 1X2 | MarathonbetBest price | 7.10 | 14.1% | 11.6% | -2.5% |
| 1xBet | 7.10 | 14.1% | 11.6% | -2.5% | |
Away 1X2 | MarathonbetBest price | 1.09 | 91.7% | 83.9% | -7.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.09 | 91.7% | 83.9% | -7.8% | |
Under 2.5 Totals | MarathonbetBest price | 3.14 | 31.8% | 30.0% | -1.8% |
| 1xBet | 3.14 | 31.8% | 30.0% | -1.8% | |
Over 2.5 Totals | MarathonbetBest price | 1.27 | 78.7% | 70.0% | -8.7% |
| 1xBet | 1.27 | 78.7% | 70.0% | -8.7% | |
Yes BTTS | MarathonbetBest price | 2.03 | 49.3% | 45.0% | -4.3% |
| 1xBet | 2.03 | 49.3% | 45.0% | -4.3% | |
No BTTS | 1xBetBest price +0.6% | 1.67 | 59.9% | 55.0% | -4.9% |
| Marathonbet | 1.65 | 60.6% | 55.0% | -5.6% | |
Home or Draw Double Chance | MarathonbetBest price | 5.10 | 19.6% | 0.0% | -19.6% |
| 1xBet | 5.10 | 19.6% | 0.0% | -19.6% | |
Home or Away Double Chance | MarathonbetBest price | 1.03 | 97.1% | 0.0% | -97.1% |
| 1xBet | 1.03 | 97.1% | 0.0% | -97.1% | |
Draw or Away Double Chance | 1xBet | 1.01 | 99.0% | 0.0% | -99.0% |
Model reasoning
Recorded forecast
This forecast was recorded on Fri, 11 Sep 2026 11:00 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
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Team hubs: Jaiyq predictions · Shakhter Karagandy predictions
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.