Van vs BKMA prediction
0–19′
AI prediction
Away Win
Confidence 66/100
Away Win
Van (LLDLL) project at 1.1 expected goals versus 1.5 for BKMA (LLLWW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Away Win at 66/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
66/100
Strongest cover
12
75.2% probability
Risk classification
Medium
24.8% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
6 sources
48 price observations
Full distribution
Market probabilities
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Evidence ledger
Van
1/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 0.33
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
BKMA
6/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 1.00
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Matchup xG signal
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 6/10 and Over 2.5 in 5/10.
Price interpretation
Value read
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
Model card
- Version
- livewin-hybrid-v0.6
- Data source
- Licensed live data feed
- Statistics baseline
- 2026 season
- Odds timestamp
- Sep 11, 10:02 AM UTC
- Optional coverage
- H2H available · odds available
- Confidence
- Signal agreement score
- Risk
- Medium · uncertainty remains
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.
Head-to-Head
Van 1-2 BKMA
2026-04-23T13:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
BKMA 1-0 Van
2026-02-07T12:00:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
BKMA 2-2 Van
2026-01-31T11:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Van 3-2 BKMA
2025-11-23T12:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
BKMA 0-0 Van
2025-08-29T14:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
BKMA 1-1 Van
2025-04-26T14:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Van 2-3 BKMA
2024-11-22T12:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
BKMA 0-1 Van
2024-09-13T15:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
BKMA 0-0 Van
2024-05-24T15:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Van 2-2 BKMA
2024-04-06T14:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Odds Comparison
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Draw 1X2 | PinnacleBest price +6.1% | 3.77 | 26.5% | 24.8% | -1.7% |
| Marathonbet | 3.62 | 27.6% | 24.8% | -2.8% | |
| 1xBet | 3.62 | 27.6% | 24.8% | -2.8% | |
| Bet365 | 3.50 | 28.6% | 24.8% | -3.8% | |
| William Hill | 3.40 | 29.4% | 24.8% | -4.6% | |
| BetVictor | 3.40 | 29.4% | 24.8% | -4.6% | |
Home 1X2 | BetVictorBest price +6.7% | 3.60 | 27.8% | 26.1% | -1.7% |
| 1xBet | 3.38 | 29.6% | 26.1% | -3.5% | |
| Pinnacle | 3.35 | 29.9% | 26.1% | -3.8% | |
| Marathonbet | 3.32 | 30.1% | 26.1% | -4.0% | |
| William Hill | 3.30 | 30.3% | 26.1% | -4.2% | |
| Bet365 | 3.30 | 30.3% | 26.1% | -4.2% | |
Away 1X2 | William HillBest price +0.9% | 1.91 | 52.4% | 49.1% | -3.3% |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 52.6% | 49.1% | -3.5% | |
| BetVictor | 1.90 | 52.6% | 49.1% | -3.5% | |
| Pinnacle | 1.89 | 52.9% | 49.1% | -3.8% | |
| 1xBet | 1.89 | 52.9% | 49.1% | -3.8% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.87 | 53.5% | 49.1% | -4.4% | |
Under 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +4.2% | 1.95 | 51.3% | 49.0% | -2.3% |
| Pinnacle | 1.94 | 51.5% | 49.0% | -2.5% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.89 | 52.9% | 49.0% | -3.9% | |
| 1xBet | 1.89 | 52.9% | 49.0% | -3.9% | |
| BetVictor | 1.69 | 59.2% | 49.0% | -10.2% | |
Over 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +3.6% | 1.85 | 54.1% | 51.0% | -3.1% |
| Pinnacle | 1.84 | 54.3% | 51.0% | -3.3% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.80 | 55.6% | 51.0% | -4.6% | |
| 1xBet | 1.80 | 55.6% | 51.0% | -4.6% | |
| BetVictor | 1.64 | 61.0% | 51.0% | -10.0% | |
No BTTS | 1xBetBest price +3.5% | 2.02 | 49.5% | 46.0% | -3.5% |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.0% | -4.0% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.99 | 50.3% | 46.0% | -4.3% | |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 55.6% | 46.0% | -9.6% | |
Yes BTTS | William HillBest price +4.2% | 1.73 | 57.8% | 54.0% | -3.8% |
| Marathonbet | 1.68 | 59.5% | 54.0% | -5.5% | |
| 1xBet | 1.68 | 59.5% | 54.0% | -5.5% | |
| BetVictor | 1.55 | 64.5% | 54.0% | -10.5% | |
Home or Draw Double Chance | Bet365Best price +2.4% | 1.80 | 55.6% | 0.0% | -55.6% |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 57.1% | 0.0% | -57.1% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.74 | 57.5% | 0.0% | -57.5% | |
| 1xBet | 1.74 | 57.5% | 0.0% | -57.5% | |
Draw or Away Double Chance | William HillBest price +3.4% | 1.30 | 76.9% | 0.0% | -76.9% |
| Bet365 | 1.25 | 80.0% | 0.0% | -80.0% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.24 | 80.6% | 0.0% | -80.6% | |
| 1xBet | 1.24 | 80.6% | 0.0% | -80.6% | |
Home or Away Double Chance | William HillBest price +5.1% | 1.29 | 77.5% | 0.0% | -77.5% |
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.20 | 83.3% | 0.0% | -83.3% | |
| 1xBet | 1.20 | 83.3% | 0.0% | -83.3% |
Model reasoning
Recorded forecast
This forecast was recorded on Fri, 11 Sep 2026 11:00 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
More predictions
- MOIK vs ŞimalBirinci Dasta · Fri 11 Sept, 14:30
- Taraz vs Khan Tengri1. Division · Fri 11 Sept, 15:00
- Johor Darul Takzim FC vs Negeri SembilanSuper League · Fri 11 Sept, 15:00
- Mbarara City vs NECPremier League · Fri 11 Sept, 15:00
- Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04Bundesliga · Fri 11 Sept, 20:30
- Rennes vs MarseilleLigue 1 · Fri 11 Sept, 20:45
Team hubs: Van predictions · BKMA predictions
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.