Pre-match

Low risk

Almaz Antey U19 vs CSKA Moskva U19

Fri, Aug 28, 10:00 AM

AI prediction

Away Win

Confidence 77/100

Model verdict

Low risk

Away Win

Almaz Antey U19 (WDLWD) project at 1.5 expected goals versus 2.1 for CSKA Moskva U19 (WWWWW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Away Win at 77/100 confidence with low risk.

Confidence

77/100

Confidence

77/100

Strongest cover

88.6% probability

Risk classification

Low

16.3% draw weight

Value status

Pass

No qualified price edge

Market sample

3 sources

28 price observations

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

AAU win11.4%

Draw16.3%

CMU win72.3%

Goals

Over 1.588.5%

Over 2.576.9%

Under 2.523.1%

Both teams to score

Yes67.3%

No32.7%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Almaz Antey U19

8/15 recent form points

WDLWD

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.75
Shots on target: Unavailable

CSKA Moskva U19

15/15 recent form points

WWWWW

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 3.00
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 1/1 and Over 2.5 in 1/1.

Price interpretation

Value read

No qualified edge at this snapshot

None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline: 2026 season
Odds timestamp: Aug 28, 04:28 AM UTC
Optional coverage: H2H available · odds available
Confidence: Signal agreement score
Risk: Low · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

CSKA Moskva U19 2-3 Almaz Antey U19

2026-04-17T14:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

Market	Bookmaker	Odds	Implied	AI	Gap
Home 1X2	1xBetBest price +8.5%	8.10	12.3%	11.4%	-0.9%
	Marathonbet	7.80	12.8%	11.4%	-1.4%
	Superbet	6.50	15.4%	11.4%	-4.0%
Draw 1X2	SuperbetBest price +7.1%	5.55	18.0%	16.3%	-1.7%
	Marathonbet	5.00	20.0%	16.3%	-3.7%
	1xBet	5.00	20.0%	16.3%	-3.7%
Away 1X2	1xBetBest price +0.5%	1.29	77.5%	72.3%	-5.2%
	Marathonbet	1.28	78.1%	72.3%	-5.8%
	Superbet	1.28	78.1%	72.3%	-5.8%
Under 2.5 Totals	MarathonbetBest price	3.96	25.3%	23.1%	-2.2%
	1xBet	3.96	25.3%	23.1%	-2.2%
Over 2.5 Totals	MarathonbetBest price	1.17	85.5%	76.9%	-8.6%
	1xBet	1.17	85.5%	76.9%	-8.6%
No BTTS	1xBetBest price +1.7%	2.85	35.1%	32.7%	-2.4%
	Marathonbet	2.79	35.8%	32.7%	-3.1%
	Superbet	2.77	36.1%	32.7%	-3.4%
Yes BTTS	SuperbetBest price +1.5%	1.39	71.9%	67.3%	-4.6%
	Marathonbet	1.36	73.5%	67.3%	-6.2%
	1xBet	1.36	73.5%	67.3%	-6.2%
Home or Draw Double Chance	MarathonbetBest price +0.5%	3.05	32.8%	0.0%	-32.8%
	1xBet	3.05	32.8%	0.0%	-32.8%
	Superbet	3.00	33.3%	0.0%	-33.3%
Home or Away Double Chance	MarathonbetBest price +0.6%	1.10	90.9%	0.0%	-90.9%
	1xBet	1.10	90.9%	0.0%	-90.9%
	Superbet	1.08	92.6%	0.0%	-92.6%
Draw or Away Double Chance	SuperbetBest price +1.9%	1.05	95.2%	0.0%	-95.2%
	Marathonbet	1.02	98.0%	0.0%	-98.0%
	1xBet	1.02	98.0%	0.0%	-98.0%

Model reasoning

Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the Away Win lean for Almaz Antey U19 vs CSKA Moskva U19. Data angle: the model weights recent form, attack and defensive stability. Market angle: no qualified value edge clears the fair-price threshold. Risk warning: Low risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Recorded forecast

This forecast was recorded on Fri, 28 Aug 2026 08:00 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.

More predictions

All Youth Championship predictions →

Team hubs: Almaz Antey U19 predictions · CSKA Moskva U19 predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.