Pre-match

High risk

Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard prediction

Sat, Sep 19, 07:00 PMKoning Willem II Stadion

AI prediction

Away Win

Confidence 55/100

Model verdict

High risk

Away Win

Willem II (LLDLD) project at 1.4 expected goals versus 1.8 for Fortuna Sittard (DWLWW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Away Win at 55/100 confidence with high risk.

Confidence

55/100

Confidence

55/100

Strongest cover

78.1% probability

Risk classification

High

21.9% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

WI win24.9%

Draw21.9%

FS win53.2%

Goals

Over 1.582.9%

Over 2.561.1%

Under 2.538.9%

Both teams to score

Yes62.9%

No37.1%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Willem II

2/15 recent form points

LLDLD

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.00
Shots on target: Unavailable

Fortuna Sittard

10/15 recent form points

DWLWW

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 2.20
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 6/10 and Over 2.5 in 5/10.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline: 2026 season
Odds timestamp: No odds available
Optional coverage: H2H available · no odds
Confidence: Signal agreement score
Risk: High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Fortuna Sittard 1-0 Willem II

2025-04-27T12:15:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Willem II 0-0 Fortuna Sittard

2024-10-20T12:15:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Fortuna Sittard 1-0 Willem II

2022-03-13T12:15:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Willem II 1-1 Fortuna Sittard

2021-10-22T20:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Willem II 2-1 Fortuna Sittard

2021-05-16T14:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Fortuna Sittard 3-2 Willem II

2020-12-05T18:45:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Willem II 0-0 Fortuna Sittard

2019-12-21T20:45:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Fortuna Sittard 2-3 Willem II

2019-08-18T12:15:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Willem II 3-2 Fortuna Sittard

2019-03-30T18:30:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Fortuna Sittard 4-4 Willem II

2018-09-22T18:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the Away Win lean for Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard. Data angle: the model weights recent form, attack and defensive stability. Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed. Risk warning: High risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Recorded forecast

Match is not completed yet. The recorded forecast, final score, and its track-record contribution appear here after settlement.

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Team hubs: Willem II predictions · Fortuna Sittard predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.