The Town vs St. Louis City II
0–2Full time
AI prediction
BTTS Yes
Confidence 69/100
BTTS Yes
The Town (LLLLW) project at 1.9 expected goals versus 1.3 for St. Louis City II (LLLWW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 69/100 confidence with high risk.
Confidence
69/100
Strongest cover
12
73.0% probability
Risk classification
High
27.0% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
6 sources
47 price observations
Full distribution
Market probabilities
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Evidence ledger
The Town
3/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 2.05
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
St. Louis City II
6/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 1.73
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Matchup xG signal
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 6/10 and Over 2.5 in 5/10.
Price interpretation
Value read
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
Model card
- Version
- livewin-hybrid-v0.6
- Data source
- Licensed live data feed
- Statistics baseline
- 2026 season
- Odds timestamp
- Aug 17, 12:16 AM UTC
- Optional coverage
- H2H available · odds available
- Confidence
- Signal agreement score
- Risk
- High · uncertainty remains
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.
Head-to-Head
St. Louis City II 3-1 The Town
2025-06-23T01:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
The Town 4-0 St. Louis City II
2025-05-12T02:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
St. Louis City II 4-2 The Town
2024-10-27T21:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
The Town 2-0 St. Louis City II
2024-09-23T00:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
St. Louis City II 1-0 The Town
2024-05-27T01:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
St. Louis City II 0-2 The Town
2023-10-02T00:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
St. Louis City II 3-1 The Town
2023-08-28T01:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
The Town 1-1 St. Louis City II
2023-07-24T02:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
The Town 2-5 St. Louis City II
2022-08-22T04:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
St. Louis City II 1-1 The Town
2022-05-30T02:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Odds Comparison
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Draw 1X2 | Bet365Best price +10.4% | 3.60 | 27.8% | 27.0% | -0.8% |
| 10Bet | 3.30 | 30.3% | 27.0% | -3.3% | |
| Betano | 3.25 | 30.8% | 27.0% | -3.8% | |
| Pinnacle | 3.19 | 31.3% | 27.0% | -4.3% | |
| Marathonbet | 3.12 | 32.1% | 27.0% | -5.1% | |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 32.3% | 27.0% | -5.3% | |
Away 1X2 | PinnacleBest price +3.6% | 2.70 | 37.0% | 34.2% | -2.8% |
| Marathonbet | 2.65 | 37.7% | 34.2% | -3.5% | |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 38.2% | 34.2% | -4.0% | |
| Betano | 2.62 | 38.2% | 34.2% | -4.0% | |
| 10Bet | 2.55 | 39.2% | 34.2% | -5.0% | |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 40.0% | 34.2% | -5.8% | |
Home 1X2 | PinnacleBest price +2.9% | 2.45 | 40.8% | 38.8% | -2.0% |
| Marathonbet | 2.41 | 41.5% | 38.8% | -2.7% | |
| William Hill | 2.38 | 42.0% | 38.8% | -3.2% | |
| Betano | 2.37 | 42.2% | 38.8% | -3.4% | |
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 42.6% | 38.8% | -3.8% | |
| 10Bet | 2.33 | 42.9% | 38.8% | -4.1% | |
Under 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +3.0% | 2.25 | 44.4% | 41.8% | -2.6% |
| Pinnacle | 2.23 | 44.8% | 41.8% | -3.0% | |
| Marathonbet | 2.19 | 45.7% | 41.8% | -3.9% | |
| Betano | 2.15 | 46.5% | 41.8% | -4.7% | |
| 10Bet | 2.10 | 47.6% | 41.8% | -5.8% | |
Over 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +2.4% | 1.62 | 61.7% | 58.2% | -3.5% |
| Pinnacle | 1.60 | 62.5% | 58.2% | -4.3% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.59 | 62.9% | 58.2% | -4.7% | |
| 10Bet | 1.55 | 64.5% | 58.2% | -6.3% | |
| Betano | 1.55 | 64.5% | 58.2% | -6.3% | |
No BTTS | MarathonbetBest price +0.2% | 2.41 | 41.5% | 38.0% | -3.5% |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 41.7% | 38.0% | -3.7% | |
Yes BTTS | William HillBest price +1.4% | 1.50 | 66.7% | 62.0% | -4.7% |
| Marathonbet | 1.46 | 68.5% | 62.0% | -6.5% | |
Draw or Away Double Chance | 10BetBest price +2.8% | 1.53 | 65.4% | 0.0% | -65.4% |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 66.7% | 0.0% | -66.7% | |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 66.7% | 0.0% | -66.7% | |
| Betano | 1.47 | 68.0% | 0.0% | -68.0% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.44 | 69.4% | 0.0% | -69.4% | |
Home or Draw Double Chance | Bet365Best price +2.9% | 1.44 | 69.4% | 0.0% | -69.4% |
| 10Bet | 1.40 | 71.4% | 0.0% | -71.4% | |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 71.4% | 0.0% | -71.4% | |
| Betano | 1.40 | 71.4% | 0.0% | -71.4% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.36 | 73.5% | 0.0% | -73.5% | |
Home or Away Double Chance | William HillBest price +4.7% | 1.33 | 75.2% | 0.0% | -75.2% |
| Betano | 1.28 | 78.1% | 0.0% | -78.1% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.27 | 78.7% | 0.0% | -78.7% | |
| 10Bet | 1.25 | 80.0% | 0.0% | -80.0% | |
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% |
Model reasoning
Recorded forecast
Final score
0-2
Pre-kickoff call
BTTS Yes · 61.8%
Recorded before kickoff; settlement runs after results are confirmed.
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Team hubs: The Town predictions · St. Louis City II predictions
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.