Major League Soccer
Pre-match
Low risk

Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC prediction

Sun, Sep 13, 12:30 AMChildren's Mercy Park

AI prediction

Away Win

Confidence 79/100

Model verdict
Low risk

Away Win

Sporting Kansas City (LDLLL) project at 1 expected goals versus 1.7 for Los Angeles FC (LDDDW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Away Win at 79/100 confidence with low risk.

Confidence

79/100

Confidence
79/100

Strongest cover

X2

80.4% probability

Risk classification

Low

24.6% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

SKC win19.6%
Draw24.6%
LAF win55.8%

Goals

Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.550.6%
Under 2.549.4%

Both teams to score

Yes51.9%
No48.1%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Sporting Kansas City

1/15 recent form points

LDLLL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.00
Shots on target
Unavailable

Los Angeles FC

6/15 recent form points

LDDDW
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.60
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 5/10 and Over 2.5 in 6/10.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2026 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
Low · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Los Angeles FC 4-0 Sporting Kansas City

2026-07-26T04:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Los Angeles FC 3-1 Sporting Kansas City

2025-06-09T03:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Sporting Kansas City 0-2 Los Angeles FC

2025-03-23T01:30:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Sporting Kansas City 0-3 Los Angeles FC

2024-10-06T02:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Los Angeles FC 3-1 Sporting Kansas City

2024-09-26T04:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Los Angeles FC 0-0 Sporting Kansas City

2024-03-10T04:30:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Sporting Kansas City 1-2 Los Angeles FC

2023-06-18T02:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Los Angeles FC 1-1 Sporting Kansas City

2023-05-18T04:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Sporting Kansas City 0-2 Los Angeles FC

2022-07-24T02:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Los Angeles FC 3-1 Sporting Kansas City

2022-04-17T22:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the Away Win lean for Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles FC. Data angle: the model weights recent form, attack and defensive stability. Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed. Risk warning: Low risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Recorded forecast

This forecast was recorded on Fri, 11 Sep 2026 09:01 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.

Team hubs: Sporting Kansas City predictions · Los Angeles FC predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.