South Melbourne vs Heidelberg United result & prediction review
1–2Full time
AI prediction
BTTS Yes
Confidence 72/100
BTTS Yes
South Melbourne (WLLWL) project at 1.6 expected goals versus 1.3 for Heidelberg United (LLWWL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 72/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
72/100
Strongest cover
12
73.9% probability
Risk classification
Medium
26.1% draw weight
Value status
Unpriced
Pre-match odds unavailable
Market sample
Unavailable
No pre-match quotes
Full distribution
Market probabilities
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Evidence ledger
South Melbourne
6/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 1.50
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Heidelberg United
6/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 1.59
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Matchup xG signal
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 5/10 and Over 2.5 in 5/10.
Price interpretation
Value read
Odds unavailable for this fixture
The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.
Provenance
Model card
- Version
- livewin-hybrid-v0.6
- Data source
- Licensed live data feed
- Statistics baseline
- 2026 season
- Odds timestamp
- No odds available
- Optional coverage
- H2H available · no odds
- Confidence
- Signal agreement score
- Risk
- Medium · uncertainty remains
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.
Head-to-Head
South Melbourne 2-1 Heidelberg United
2026-09-06T09:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
South Melbourne 1-2 Heidelberg United
2026-08-23T07:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Heidelberg United 4-0 South Melbourne
2026-05-08T11:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
South Melbourne 1-0 Heidelberg United
2025-11-29T05:35:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Heidelberg United 1-1 South Melbourne
2025-07-26T08:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
South Melbourne 0-3 Heidelberg United
2025-04-13T09:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
Heidelberg United 1-0 South Melbourne
2024-06-16T08:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
South Melbourne 1-1 Heidelberg United
2024-03-08T09:30:00+01:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Heidelberg United 2-1 South Melbourne
2023-08-16T10:15:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
South Melbourne 0-2 Heidelberg United
2023-03-17T09:30:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Odds Comparison
No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.
Model reasoning
Recorded forecast
Final score
1-2
Pre-kickoff call
Home Win · 50.4% → Lost
Ranked probability score
0.4083 (uniform ≈ 0.222)
Recorded Sun, 23 Aug 2026 05:15 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.
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Team hubs: South Melbourne predictions · Heidelberg United predictions
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.