U19 League
Finished
High risk

Shakhtar Donetsk U19 vs LNZ Cherkasy U19

21Full time
Wed, Aug 12, 09:00 AM

AI prediction

Home Win

Confidence 56/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
High risk

Home Win

Shakhtar Donetsk U19 (LWWWW) project at 2.6 expected goals versus 1 for LNZ Cherkasy U19 (LLWLL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 56/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.

Confidence

56/100

Confidence
56/100

Strongest cover

1X

90.1% probability

Risk classification

High

15.1% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

SDU win75%
Draw15.1%
LCU win9.9%

Goals

Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.569.1%
Under 2.530.9%

Both teams to score

Yes59.2%
No40.8%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Shakhtar Donetsk U19

12/15 recent form points

LWWWW
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
3.30
Shots on target
Unavailable

LNZ Cherkasy U19

3/15 recent form points

LLWLL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.60
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 4/7 and Over 2.5 in 7/7.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2025 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Shakhtar Donetsk U19 2-1 LNZ Cherkasy U19

2026-08-12T11:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

LNZ Cherkasy U19 1-2 Shakhtar Donetsk U19

2026-04-12T11:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Shakhtar Donetsk U19 3-0 LNZ Cherkasy U19

2025-10-04T12:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

LNZ Cherkasy U19 0-7 Shakhtar Donetsk U19

2025-04-10T11:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Shakhtar Donetsk U19 4-0 LNZ Cherkasy U19

2024-10-06T11:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

LNZ Cherkasy U19 1-4 Shakhtar Donetsk U19

2024-04-25T11:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Shakhtar Donetsk U19 3-1 LNZ Cherkasy U19

2023-10-20T02:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Shakhtar Donetsk U19 at home have been strong across the season, with 26 wins from 30 matches and a goals record of 99 scored versus 28 conceded. They also have 14 clean sheets, which suggests they can control games defensively, and their recent form is notably positive with LWWWW. LNZ Cherkasy U19 away have been more inconsistent, with 11 wins from 30 and a more balanced but weaker scoring profile of 48 scored versus 46 conceded. Their recent form is also subdued (LLWLL), which points to difficulty sustaining results and creating enough attacking output. The matchup profile supports a home-leaning outcome, with Shakhtar’s season dominance translating into a higher home win probability (75.0%) and a relatively low away win chance (9.9%). There’s also a strong likelihood of goals, with over 2.5 goals at 69.1% and both teams to score at 59.2%, so while Shakhtar may edge the result, the game could still include scoring from both sides. Confidence is moderate (56) and risk is high, likely because LNZ can still score in some matches (59.2% both teams to score), and their away record includes enough wins and draws to keep the result from being fully one-sided.

Recorded forecast

Final score

2-1

Pre-kickoff call

Home Win · 75.0% → Won

Ranked probability score

0.0362 (uniform ≈ 0.222)

Recorded Tue, 11 Aug 2026 19:33 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.

Team hubs: Shakhtar Donetsk U19 predictions · LNZ Cherkasy U19 predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.