Serie A
Pre-match
Medium risk

Fluminense vs Remo

Sat, Aug 22, 07:00 PMEstadio Evandro Almeida

AI prediction

Home Win

Confidence 72/100

Model verdict
Medium risk

Home Win

Fluminense (DDDDW) project at 1.8 expected goals versus 1 for Remo (LWLDD). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 72/100 confidence with medium risk.

Confidence

72/100

Confidence
72/100

Strongest cover

1X

81.9% probability

Risk classification

Medium

22.6% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

F win59.3%
Draw22.6%
R win18.1%

Goals

Over 1.578%
Over 2.553.7%
Under 2.546.3%

Both teams to score

Yes54.5%
No45.5%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Fluminense

7/15 recent form points

DDDDW
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.48
Shots on target
Unavailable

Remo

5/15 recent form points

LWLDD
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.17
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 0/1 and Over 2.5 in 0/1.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2026 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
Medium · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Remo 0-2 Fluminense

2026-03-12T23:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Fluminense at home have a stronger overall record than Remo away, with 10 wins from 23 matches for Fluminense versus 5 wins from 23 for Remo. Fluminense also have the better goal profile, scoring 34 and conceding 28, while Remo score 27 and concede 37, suggesting Fluminense are more likely to create and sustain scoring chances. In recent form, Fluminense’s run is steadier with DDDDW, while Remo’s is more mixed and weaker with LWLDD. That combination of better home results and less volatile recent form supports a home win lean, though Remo’s draw rate keeps the outcome from looking one-sided. The goal-related indicators are fairly balanced but slightly favor a match with goals. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53.7%, and both teams to score is 54.5%, which implies Remo may still find chances despite their lower win rate. Overall, the home win probability is 59.3% with a medium risk level, so Fluminense look like the more likely side, but the draw and a lower-scoring variance remain plausible given Remo’s ability to avoid defeat at times.

Recorded forecast

This forecast was recorded on Fri, 21 Aug 2026 09:31 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.

Team hubs: Fluminense predictions · Remo predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.