Pre-match

Medium risk

Seoul W vs Gyeongju W

Fri, Aug 14, 10:00 AM

AI prediction

BTTS Yes

Confidence 65/100

Model verdict

Medium risk

BTTS Yes

Seoul W (LWLWL) project at 1.3 expected goals versus 1.5 for Gyeongju W (WDWWD). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 65/100 confidence with medium risk.

Confidence

65/100

Confidence

65/100

Strongest cover

73.9% probability

Risk classification

Medium

26.1% draw weight

Value status

Pass

No qualified price edge

Market sample

6 sources

56 price observations

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

SW win41.3%

Draw26.1%

GW win32.6%

Goals

Over 1.576.7%

Over 2.553.1%

Under 2.546.9%

Both teams to score

Yes57.5%

No42.5%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Seoul W

6/15 recent form points

LWLWL

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.00
Shots on target: Unavailable

Gyeongju W

11/15 recent form points

WDWWD

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.58
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 8/10 and Over 2.5 in 7/10.

Price interpretation

Value read

No qualified edge at this snapshot

None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline: 2026 season
Odds timestamp: Aug 14, 12:46 AM UTC
Optional coverage: H2H available · odds available
Confidence: Signal agreement score
Risk: Medium · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Seoul W 1-3 Gyeongju W

2026-06-20T12:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Gyeongju W 0-1 Seoul W

2026-05-05T07:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Seoul W 2-1 Gyeongju W

2025-09-01T12:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Gyeongju W 0-2 Seoul W

2025-06-09T12:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Gyeongju W 2-1 Seoul W

2025-04-28T12:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Gyeongju W 1-4 Seoul W

2025-03-15T06:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Gyeongju W 4-3 Seoul W

2024-09-05T12:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Seoul W 2-2 Gyeongju W

2024-07-01T12:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Gyeongju W 1-1 Seoul W

2024-05-15T07:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Seoul W 1-3 Gyeongju W

2024-03-29T11:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

Market	Bookmaker	Odds	Implied	AI	Gap
Draw 1X2	BetfairBest price +3.6%	3.50	28.6%	26.1%	-2.5%
	Bet365	3.40	29.4%	26.1%	-3.3%
	BetVictor	3.40	29.4%	26.1%	-3.3%
	Marathonbet	3.38	29.6%	26.1%	-3.5%
	10Bet	3.35	29.9%	26.1%	-3.8%
	Unibet	3.25	30.8%	26.1%	-4.7%
Away 1X2	UnibetBest price +5.9%	2.95	33.9%	32.6%	-1.3%
	BetVictor	2.88	34.7%	32.6%	-2.1%
	Bet365	2.80	35.7%	32.6%	-3.1%
	Marathonbet	2.75	36.4%	32.6%	-3.8%
	10Bet	2.70	37.0%	32.6%	-4.4%
	Betfair	2.63	38.0%	32.6%	-5.4%
Home 1X2	MarathonbetBest price +1.0%	2.21	45.2%	41.3%	-3.9%
	10Bet	2.20	45.5%	41.3%	-4.2%
	Bet365	2.20	45.5%	41.3%	-4.2%
	Betfair	2.20	45.5%	41.3%	-4.2%
	BetVictor	2.20	45.5%	41.3%	-4.2%
	Unibet	2.12	47.2%	41.3%	-5.9%
Under 2.5 Totals	Bet365Best price +1.5%	2.00	50.0%	46.9%	-3.1%
	Betfair	2.00	50.0%	46.9%	-3.1%
	BetVictor	2.00	50.0%	46.9%	-3.1%
	Marathonbet	1.97	50.8%	46.9%	-3.9%
	Unibet	1.95	51.3%	46.9%	-4.4%
	10Bet	1.90	52.6%	46.9%	-5.7%
Over 2.5 Totals	Bet365Best price +3.8%	1.80	55.6%	53.1%	-2.5%
	10Bet	1.73	57.8%	53.1%	-4.7%
	Marathonbet	1.73	57.8%	53.1%	-4.7%
	Betfair	1.73	57.8%	53.1%	-4.7%
	BetVictor	1.73	57.8%	53.1%	-4.7%
	Unibet	1.68	59.5%	53.1%	-6.4%
No BTTS	BetfairBest price +1.4%	2.20	45.5%	42.5%	-3.0%
	BetVictor	2.20	45.5%	42.5%	-3.0%
	Unibet	2.15	46.5%	42.5%	-4.0%
	Marathonbet	2.13	46.9%	42.5%	-4.4%
Yes BTTS	UnibetBest price +0.2%	1.60	62.5%	57.5%	-5.0%
	Betfair	1.60	62.5%	57.5%	-5.0%
	BetVictor	1.60	62.5%	57.5%	-5.0%
	Marathonbet	1.59	62.9%	57.5%	-5.4%
Draw or Away Double Chance	10BetBest price +2.9%	1.60	62.5%	0.0%	-62.5%
	Betfair	1.57	63.7%	0.0%	-63.7%
	Bet365	1.55	64.5%	0.0%	-64.5%
	BetVictor	1.55	64.5%	0.0%	-64.5%
	Unibet	1.54	64.9%	0.0%	-64.9%
	Marathonbet	1.52	65.8%	0.0%	-65.8%
Home or Draw Double Chance	BetfairBest price +4.6%	1.40	71.4%	0.0%	-71.4%
	BetVictor	1.36	73.5%	0.0%	-73.5%
	Marathonbet	1.34	74.6%	0.0%	-74.6%
	10Bet	1.33	75.2%	0.0%	-75.2%
	Bet365	1.33	75.2%	0.0%	-75.2%
	Unibet	1.27	78.7%	0.0%	-78.7%
Home or Away Double Chance	BetVictorBest price +3.9%	1.29	77.5%	0.0%	-77.5%
	Bet365	1.25	80.0%	0.0%	-80.0%
	Betfair	1.25	80.0%	0.0%	-80.0%
	Marathonbet	1.23	81.3%	0.0%	-81.3%
	Unibet	1.23	81.3%	0.0%	-81.3%
	10Bet	1.20	83.3%	0.0%	-83.3%

Model reasoning

Seoul W at home have struggled for results, with 7 wins and 11 losses from 18 matches, and they’ve scored 18 while conceding 31. Their recent form is mixed-to-weak (LWLWL), which suggests they can be inconsistent in turning chances into goals. Gyeongju W away look more stable, with 8 wins and 7 losses from 19 matches and a stronger goal output (30 scored, 24 conceded). Their recent form (WDWWD) includes multiple matches where they avoided defeat, which supports the idea they can contribute offensively even on the road. The matchup profile points toward both teams scoring: Seoul’s low clean-sheet count (2) and higher concession total make them vulnerable, while Gyeongju’s 30 goals and 24 conceded against indicate they can both create and score. With both teams to score at 57.5% and over 2.5 goals at 53.1%, BTTS Yes fits best, though the confidence is only moderate (65) given Seoul’s overall record and the relatively close goal/scoreline probabilities.

Recorded forecast

This forecast was recorded on Fri, 14 Aug 2026 02:33 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.

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Team hubs: Seoul W predictions · Gyeongju W predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.