Pre-match

High risk

San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo prediction

Sun, Sep 13, 02:30 AMPayPal Park

AI prediction

BTTS Yes

Confidence 67/100

Model verdict

High risk

BTTS Yes

San Jose Earthquakes (LLDDW) project at 1.5 expected goals versus 1.4 for Houston Dynamo (WLDDW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 67/100 confidence with high risk.

Confidence

67/100

Confidence

67/100

Strongest cover

73.3% probability

Risk classification

High

26.7% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

SJE win38.5%

Draw26.7%

HD win34.8%

Goals

Over 1.577.9%

Over 2.553.5%

Under 2.546.5%

Both teams to score

Yes57.8%

No42.2%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

San Jose Earthquakes

5/15 recent form points

LLDDW

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.79
Shots on target: Unavailable

Houston Dynamo

8/15 recent form points

WLDDW

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.33
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 8/10 and Over 2.5 in 7/10.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline: 2026 season
Odds timestamp: No odds available
Optional coverage: H2H available · no odds
Confidence: Signal agreement score
Risk: High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Houston Dynamo 0-0 San Jose Earthquakes

2026-08-30T02:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Houston Dynamo 1-2 San Jose Earthquakes

2025-08-24T02:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

San Jose Earthquakes 3-3 Houston Dynamo

2025-05-25T04:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

San Jose Earthquakes 0-1 Houston Dynamo

2024-07-18T04:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Houston Dynamo 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes

2024-03-31T01:30:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Houston Dynamo 4-1 San Jose Earthquakes

2023-06-22T02:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 Houston Dynamo

2023-04-02T04:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 Houston Dynamo

2022-07-18T03:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Houston Dynamo 4-3 San Jose Earthquakes

2022-04-10T02:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Houston Dynamo

2021-07-25T04:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the BTTS Yes lean for San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo. Data angle: the model weights recent form, attack and defensive stability. Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed. Risk warning: High risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Recorded forecast

Match is not completed yet. The recorded forecast, final score, and its track-record contribution appear here after settlement.

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Team hubs: San Jose Earthquakes predictions · Houston Dynamo predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.