Major League Soccer
Pre-match
Low risk

New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC prediction

Sat, Sep 19, 11:30 PMGillette Stadium

AI prediction

Home Win

Confidence 78/100

Model verdict
Low risk

Home Win

New England Revolution (WDWLW) project at 2.1 expected goals versus 1.1 for Orlando City SC (LWDWW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 78/100 confidence with low risk.

Confidence

78/100

Confidence
78/100

Strongest cover

1X

82.0% probability

Risk classification

Low

21.2% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

NER win60.8%
Draw21.2%
OCS win18%

Goals

Over 1.583.4%
Over 2.561.9%
Under 2.538.1%

Both teams to score

Yes59.9%
No40.1%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

New England Revolution

10/15 recent form points

WDWLW
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.63
Shots on target
Unavailable

Orlando City SC

10/15 recent form points

LWDWW
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.71
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 8/10 and Over 2.5 in 10/10.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2026 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
Low · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

New England Revolution 3-4 Orlando City SC

2026-04-30T01:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

New England Revolution 1-2 Orlando City SC

2025-07-20T01:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Orlando City SC 3-3 New England Revolution

2025-05-11T01:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Orlando City SC 3-0 New England Revolution

2024-09-15T01:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

New England Revolution 1-3 Orlando City SC

2024-07-14T01:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Orlando City SC 3-1 New England Revolution

2024-02-11T01:30:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Orlando City SC 3-2 New England Revolution

2023-10-08T01:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

New England Revolution 3-1 Orlando City SC

2023-06-18T01:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Orlando City SC 1-2 New England Revolution

2023-02-19T01:30:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Orlando City SC 0-3 New England Revolution

2022-08-07T01:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the Home Win lean for New England Revolution vs Orlando City SC. Data angle: the model weights recent form, attack and defensive stability. Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed. Risk warning: Low risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Recorded forecast

Match is not completed yet. The recorded forecast, final score, and its track-record contribution appear here after settlement.

Team hubs: New England Revolution predictions · Orlando City SC predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.