Pre-match

Medium risk

Kahibah vs Maitland

Wed, Aug 12, 10:00 AM

AI prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Confidence 75/100

Model verdict

Medium risk

Over 2.5 Goals

Kahibah (LLLWW) project at 1.6 expected goals versus 1.8 for Maitland (WWWLW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Over 2.5 Goals at 75/100 confidence with medium risk.

Confidence

75/100

Confidence

75/100

Strongest cover

79.0% probability

Risk classification

Medium

21.0% draw weight

Value status

Pass

No qualified price edge

Market sample

6 sources

46 price observations

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

K win24.1%

Draw21%

M win54.9%

Goals

Over 1.585.3%

Over 2.566.7%

Under 2.533.3%

Both teams to score

Yes66.1%

No33.9%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Kahibah

6/15 recent form points

LLLWW

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.60
Shots on target: Unavailable

Maitland

12/15 recent form points

WWWLW

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.80
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 1/1 and Over 2.5 in 1/1.

Price interpretation

Value read

No qualified edge at this snapshot

None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline: 2026 season
Odds timestamp: Aug 12, 03:04 AM UTC
Optional coverage: H2H available · odds available
Confidence: Signal agreement score
Risk: Medium · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Maitland 1-2 Kahibah

2026-03-28T09:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

Market	Bookmaker	Odds	Implied	AI	Gap
Draw 1X2	Bet365Best price +14.7%	4.75	21.1%	21.0%	-0.1%
	Betfair	4.20	23.8%	21.0%	-2.8%
	Marathonbet	4.15	24.1%	21.0%	-3.1%
	10Bet	4.00	25.0%	21.0%	-4.0%
	William Hill	3.90	25.6%	21.0%	-4.6%
	Unibet	3.85	26.0%	21.0%	-5.0%
Home 1X2	BetfairBest price +3.9%	3.80	26.3%	24.1%	-2.2%
	William Hill	3.75	26.7%	24.1%	-2.6%
	10Bet	3.70	27.0%	24.1%	-2.9%
	Marathonbet	3.70	27.0%	24.1%	-2.9%
	Unibet	3.70	27.0%	24.1%	-2.9%
	Bet365	3.30	30.3%	24.1%	-6.2%
Away 1X2	William HillBest price +1.3%	1.70	58.8%	54.9%	-3.9%
	10Bet	1.68	59.5%	54.9%	-4.6%
	Unibet	1.68	59.5%	54.9%	-4.6%
	Bet365	1.67	59.9%	54.9%	-5.0%
	Marathonbet	1.67	59.9%	54.9%	-5.0%
	Betfair	1.67	59.9%	54.9%	-5.0%
Under 2.5 Totals	MarathonbetBest price +2.4%	2.81	35.6%	33.3%	-2.3%
	Unibet	2.80	35.7%	33.3%	-2.4%
	Bet365	2.62	38.2%	33.3%	-4.9%
Over 2.5 Totals	Bet365Best price +5.6%	1.44	69.4%	66.7%	-2.7%
	Marathonbet	1.33	75.2%	66.7%	-8.5%
	Unibet	1.32	75.8%	66.7%	-9.1%
No BTTS	William HillBest price +1.5%	2.75	36.4%	33.9%	-2.5%
	Marathonbet	2.67	37.5%	33.9%	-3.6%
Yes BTTS	William HillBest price +0.7%	1.40	71.4%	66.1%	-5.3%
	Marathonbet	1.38	72.5%	66.1%	-6.4%
Home or Draw Double Chance	10BetBest price +3.4%	2.05	48.8%	0.0%	-48.8%
	William Hill	2.00	50.0%	0.0%	-50.0%
	Bet365	2.00	50.0%	0.0%	-50.0%
	Betfair	2.00	50.0%	0.0%	-50.0%
	Marathonbet	1.96	51.0%	0.0%	-51.0%
	Unibet	1.88	53.2%	0.0%	-53.2%
Draw or Away Double Chance	Bet365Best price +3.3%	1.25	80.0%	0.0%	-80.0%
	10Bet	1.22	82.0%	0.0%	-82.0%
	William Hill	1.22	82.0%	0.0%	-82.0%
	Betfair	1.20	83.3%	0.0%	-83.3%
	Marathonbet	1.19	84.0%	0.0%	-84.0%
	Unibet	1.18	84.7%	0.0%	-84.7%
Home or Away Double Chance	William HillBest price +5.2%	1.22	82.0%	0.0%	-82.0%
	Betfair	1.17	85.5%	0.0%	-85.5%
	Unibet	1.16	86.2%	0.0%	-86.2%
	Marathonbet	1.15	87.0%	0.0%	-87.0%
	10Bet	1.14	87.7%	0.0%	-87.7%
	Bet365	1.12	89.3%	0.0%	-89.3%

Model reasoning

Maitland look more likely to create the better attacking chances, with 36 goals scored from 20 matches compared to Kahibah’s 32. Maitland also have a stronger defensive record, conceding 30 versus Kahibah’s 47, which supports the idea that the away side can control the game enough to keep scoring. The over 2.5 goals angle is supported by both teams’ goal profiles. Kahibah’s 47 conceded suggests they are vulnerable to conceding, while Maitland’s 36 scored indicates they can capitalize. With Maitland’s recent form reading WWWLW and Kahibah’s LLLWW, the match script leans toward at least a couple of goals being reached. Both teams to score is also relatively likely given Kahibah’s concession rate and Maitland’s ability to find goals. Even though Maitland’s defense is better, Kahibah’s tendency to concede makes a blank sheet less certain. Overall, the 66.7% probability for over 2.5 goals and 66.1% for both teams to score align with the gap in defensive strength and the away side’s recent momentum, but the medium risk reflects Kahibah’s poor recent stretch could also limit their scoring.

Recorded forecast

This forecast was recorded on Tue, 11 Aug 2026 22:33 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.

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Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.