Nasjonal U19 Champions League
Pre-match
Medium risk

Brann U19 vs Vålerenga U19

Wed, Aug 12, 01:00 PM

AI prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Confidence 73/100

Model verdict
Medium risk

Over 2.5 Goals

Brann U19 (WWLDW) project at 2.3 expected goals versus 1.6 for Vålerenga U19 (DWLWL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Over 2.5 Goals at 73/100 confidence with medium risk.

Confidence

73/100

Confidence
73/100

Strongest cover

12

82.2% probability

Risk classification

Medium

17.8% draw weight

Value status

Pass

No qualified price edge

Market sample

3 sources

26 price observations

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

BU win61.4%
Draw17.8%
VU win20.8%

Goals

Over 1.589.9%
Over 2.577.4%
Under 2.522.6%

Both teams to score

Yes71.5%
No28.5%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Brann U19

10/15 recent form points

WWLDW
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
3.29
Shots on target
Unavailable

Vålerenga U19

7/15 recent form points

DWLWL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
2.38
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 4/5 and Over 2.5 in 4/5.

Price interpretation

Value read

No qualified edge at this snapshot

None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2026 season
Odds timestamp
Aug 12, 12:09 AM UTC
Optional coverage
H2H available · odds available
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
Medium · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Vålerenga U19 1-4 Brann U19

2026-07-21T17:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Vålerenga U19 3-4 Brann U19

2026-02-03T14:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Vålerenga U19 1-0 Brann U19

2025-04-15T14:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Brann U19 4-1 Vålerenga U19

2025-03-08T16:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Vålerenga U19 4-2 Brann U19

2022-10-27T16:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

MarketBookmakerOddsImpliedAIGap
Draw
1X2
William HillBest price +0.3%4.8020.8%17.8%-3.0%
Bet3654.8020.8%17.8%-3.0%
Betfair4.7521.1%17.8%-3.3%
Away
1X2
William HillBest price +1.6%4.2023.8%20.8%-3.0%
Bet3654.2023.8%20.8%-3.0%
Betfair4.0025.0%20.8%-4.2%
Home
1X2
BetfairBest price +1.3%1.5365.4%61.4%-4.0%
William Hill1.5066.7%61.4%-5.3%
Bet3651.5066.7%61.4%-5.3%
Under 2.5
Totals
Bet365Best price +4.0%4.3323.1%22.6%-0.5%
Betfair4.0025.0%22.6%-2.4%
Over 2.5
Totals
Bet365Best price1.2083.3%77.4%-5.9%
Betfair1.2083.3%77.4%-5.9%
No
BTTS
William HillBest price +1.5%3.3030.3%28.5%-1.8%
Betfair3.2031.3%28.5%-2.8%
Yes
BTTS
BetfairBest price +0.4%1.3076.9%71.5%-5.4%
William Hill1.2977.5%71.5%-6.0%
Draw or Away
Double Chance
William HillBest price +3.1%2.4540.8%0.0%-40.8%
Betfair2.3842.0%0.0%-42.0%
Bet3652.3043.5%0.0%-43.5%
Home or Draw
Double Chance
BetfairBest price +1.7%1.2083.3%0.0%-83.3%
William Hill1.1785.5%0.0%-85.5%
Bet3651.1785.5%0.0%-85.5%
Home or Away
Double Chance
BetfairBest price +2.0%1.1785.5%0.0%-85.5%
William Hill1.1587.0%0.0%-87.0%
Bet3651.1289.3%0.0%-89.3%

Model reasoning

Brann U19 have been scoring regularly at home, with 23 goals in 7 matches and a strong overall record of 5W 1D 1L. Their recent form includes two wins in the last five games (WWLDW), and they’ve also kept opponents down at least once with a clean sheet. Vålerenga U19 are more mixed away, with 19 goals in 8 matches but also 19 conceded, suggesting their games can swing toward goals. Their recent form (DWLWL) includes only one win in the last five, and their away defense has been less consistent than Brann’s. With Brann’s scoring output and Vålerenga’s equal goals for and against, the matchup profile supports a higher-scoring script. The probabilities provided align with that, with over 2.5 goals at 77.4% and both teams to score at 71.5%, so a bet on over 2.5 goals looks more favorable than a low-scoring alternative, though the medium risk reflects Vålerenga’s ability to keep games tighter at times.

Recorded forecast

This forecast was recorded on Wed, 12 Aug 2026 00:01 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.