Liga 3
Finished
Medium risk

Iveria Khashuri vs FC Iberia 1999 II

01Full time
Thu, Aug 6, 04:00 PM

AI prediction

Away Win

Confidence 67/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
Medium risk

Away Win

Iveria Khashuri (LDLDL) project at 1 expected goals versus 1.6 for FC Iberia 1999 II (WWWDL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Away Win at 67/100 confidence with medium risk.

Confidence

67/100

Confidence
67/100

Strongest cover

X2

80.6% probability

Risk classification

Medium

24.6% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

IK win19.4%
Draw24.6%
FI1 win56%

Goals

Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.546.2%
Under 2.553.8%

Both teams to score

Yes49.7%
No50.3%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Iveria Khashuri

2/15 recent form points

LDLDL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
0.89
Shots on target
Unavailable

FC Iberia 1999 II

10/15 recent form points

WWWDL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.50
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 0/2 and Over 2.5 in 0/2.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2026 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
Medium · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Iveria Khashuri 0-1 FC Iberia 1999 II

2026-08-06T18:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

FC Iberia 1999 II 0-0 Iveria Khashuri

2026-03-05T11:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

FC Iberia 1999 II look stronger on the season and in recent results. Away from home, they’ve won 10 of 18 matches with 27 goals scored and only 12 conceded, plus 9 clean sheets, while Iveria Khashuri have struggled with 1 win in 18 and a negative goal difference (16 scored, 35 conceded). The match outcome probabilities reflect that gap, with FC Iberia 1999 II rated for a 56.0% chance of an away win versus 19.4% for the home side and 24.6% for a draw. Iveria’s recent form (LDLDL) suggests they’re finding it hard to turn matches into wins, which aligns with the lower home win probability. On goals, the outlook is more mixed than the result. There’s a 46.2% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49.7% chance that both teams score, so while FC Iberia’s defense is solid, the data doesn’t strongly indicate a high-scoring game or a guaranteed shutout. Overall, the away win case is supported by the defensive record and better results profile, but with only a medium risk level and near-even scoring likelihoods, the prediction isn’t fully one-sided.

Recorded forecast

Final score

0-1

Pre-kickoff call

Away Win · 56.1% → Won

Ranked probability score

0.115 (uniform ≈ 0.222)

Recorded Thu, 06 Aug 2026 13:14 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.

Team hubs: Iveria Khashuri predictions · FC Iberia 1999 II predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.