Major League Soccer
Pre-match
Medium risk

DC United vs Charlotte prediction

Sat, Sep 19, 11:30 PMAudi Field

AI prediction

BTTS Yes

Confidence 70/100

Model verdict
Medium risk

BTTS Yes

DC United (DLLDW) project at 1.4 expected goals versus 1.5 for Charlotte (DWWDW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 70/100 confidence with medium risk.

Confidence

70/100

Confidence
70/100

Strongest cover

12

73.9% probability

Risk classification

Medium

26.1% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

DU win34.2%
Draw26.1%
C win39.7%

Goals

Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.555.6%
Under 2.544.4%

Both teams to score

Yes59.4%
No40.6%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

DC United

5/15 recent form points

DLLDW
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.30
Shots on target
Unavailable

Charlotte

11/15 recent form points

DWWDW
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.75
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 4/10 and Over 2.5 in 7/10.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2026 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
Medium · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Charlotte 3-1 DC United

2026-08-23T01:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

DC United 0-1 Charlotte

2025-10-04T20:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Charlotte 2-1 DC United

2025-07-17T01:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

DC United 2-2 Charlotte

2025-05-22T01:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

DC United 0-3 Charlotte

2024-10-21T00:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Charlotte 1-0 DC United

2024-06-16T01:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Charlotte 0-0 DC United

2023-09-17T01:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

DC United 3-0 Charlotte

2023-04-30T01:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

DC United 2-3 Charlotte

2023-02-01T20:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Charlotte 3-0 DC United

2022-08-04T01:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the BTTS Yes lean for DC United vs Charlotte. Data angle: the model weights recent form, attack and defensive stability. Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed. Risk warning: Medium risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Recorded forecast

Match is not completed yet. The recorded forecast, final score, and its track-record contribution appear here after settlement.

Team hubs: DC United predictions · Charlotte predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.