Pre-match

Medium risk

DC United vs Atlanta United FC prediction

Sat, Sep 12, 11:30 PMAudi Field

AI prediction

Home Win

Confidence 74/100

Model verdict

Medium risk

Home Win

DC United (DLLDW) project at 1.6 expected goals versus 1.2 for Atlanta United FC (WWLDL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 74/100 confidence with medium risk.

Confidence

74/100

Confidence

74/100

Strongest cover

74.8% probability

Risk classification

Medium

25.2% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

DU win49%

Draw25.2%

AUF win25.8%

Goals

Over 1.578.5%

Over 2.554.3%

Under 2.545.7%

Both teams to score

Yes57.3%

No42.7%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

DC United

5/15 recent form points

DLLDW

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.30
Shots on target: Unavailable

Atlanta United FC

7/15 recent form points

WWLDL

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.21
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 6/10 and Over 2.5 in 4/10.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline: 2026 season
Odds timestamp: No odds available
Optional coverage: H2H available · no odds
Confidence: Signal agreement score
Risk: Medium · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Atlanta United FC 0-0 DC United

2026-03-22T00:30:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Atlanta United FC 1-1 DC United

2025-10-19T00:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

DC United 0-0 Atlanta United FC

2025-07-06T01:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Atlanta United FC 3-3 DC United

2024-07-27T02:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

DC United 0-1 Atlanta United FC

2024-06-20T01:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Atlanta United FC 2-3 DC United

2024-05-12T01:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

DC United 1-1 Atlanta United FC

2023-09-21T01:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Atlanta United FC 3-1 DC United

2023-06-11T01:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Atlanta United FC 3-2 DC United

2022-08-28T22:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

DC United 0-1 Atlanta United FC

2022-04-04T01:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the Home Win lean for DC United vs Atlanta United FC. Data angle: the model weights recent form, attack and defensive stability. Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed. Risk warning: Medium risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Recorded forecast

This forecast was recorded on Fri, 11 Sep 2026 09:01 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.

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Team hubs: DC United predictions · Atlanta United FC predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.