Pre-match

Medium risk

Brann II vs Os

Mon, Aug 17, 04:00 PMVarden Amfi

AI prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Confidence 74/100

Model verdict

Medium risk

Over 2.5 Goals

Brann II (LWWDL) project at 2 expected goals versus 2.1 for Os (WWWWW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Over 2.5 Goals at 74/100 confidence with medium risk.

Confidence

74/100

Confidence

74/100

Strongest cover

80.5% probability

Risk classification

Medium

19.5% draw weight

Value status

Pass

No qualified price edge

Market sample

6 sources

50 price observations

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

BI win24%

Draw19.5%

O win56.5%

Goals

Over 1.591.7%

Over 2.577%

Under 2.523%

Both teams to score

Yes75.8%

No24.2%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Brann II

7/15 recent form points

LWWDL

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 2.20
Shots on target: Unavailable

15/15 recent form points

WWWWW

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 4.00
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 2/2 and Over 2.5 in 2/2.

Price interpretation

Value read

No qualified edge at this snapshot

None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline: 2026 season
Odds timestamp: Aug 17, 06:00 AM UTC
Optional coverage: H2H available · odds available
Confidence: Signal agreement score
Risk: Medium · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Os 5-2 Brann II

2026-06-20T14:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Brann II 2-1 Os

2021-10-18T18:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

Market	Bookmaker	Odds	Implied	AI	Gap
Draw 1X2	Bet365Best price +7.8%	4.75	21.1%	19.5%	-1.6%
	Marathonbet	4.55	22.0%	19.5%	-2.5%
	Unibet	4.40	22.7%	19.5%	-3.2%
	Betfair	4.40	22.7%	19.5%	-3.2%
	10Bet	4.33	23.1%	19.5%	-3.6%
	William Hill	4.00	25.0%	19.5%	-5.5%
Home 1X2	UnibetBest price +13.8%	4.20	23.8%	24.0%	+0.2%
	Betfair	3.80	26.3%	24.0%	-2.3%
	Marathonbet	3.70	27.0%	24.0%	-3.0%
	10Bet	3.65	27.4%	24.0%	-3.4%
	William Hill	3.50	28.6%	24.0%	-4.6%
	Bet365	3.30	30.3%	24.0%	-6.3%
Away 1X2	Bet365Best price +4.9%	1.70	58.8%	56.5%	-2.3%
	William Hill	1.67	59.9%	56.5%	-3.4%
	10Bet	1.62	61.7%	56.5%	-5.2%
	Betfair	1.62	61.7%	56.5%	-5.2%
	Marathonbet	1.61	62.1%	56.5%	-5.6%
	Unibet	1.50	66.7%	56.5%	-10.2%
Under 2.5 Totals	BetfairBest price +17.4%	4.80	20.8%	23.0%	+2.2%
	Marathonbet	4.60	21.7%	23.0%	+1.3%
	Bet365	3.50	28.6%	23.0%	-5.6%
	Unibet	3.45	29.0%	23.0%	-6.0%
Over 2.5 Totals	Bet365Best price +7.1%	1.28	78.1%	77.0%	-1.1%
	Unibet	1.23	81.3%	77.0%	-4.3%
	Betfair	1.14	87.7%	77.0%	-10.7%
	Marathonbet	1.13	88.5%	77.0%	-11.5%
No BTTS	BetfairBest price +4.8%	4.00	25.0%	24.2%	-0.8%
	Marathonbet	3.85	26.0%	24.2%	-1.8%
	William Hill	3.60	27.8%	24.2%	-3.6%
Yes BTTS	William HillBest price +2.5%	1.25	80.0%	75.8%	-4.2%
	Betfair	1.22	82.0%	75.8%	-6.2%
	Marathonbet	1.19	84.0%	75.8%	-8.2%
Home or Draw Double Chance	Bet365Best price +4.7%	2.20	45.5%	0.0%	-45.5%
	10Bet	2.15	46.5%	0.0%	-46.5%
	Unibet	2.12	47.2%	0.0%	-47.2%
	Betfair	2.10	47.6%	0.0%	-47.6%
	Marathonbet	2.04	49.0%	0.0%	-49.0%
	William Hill	2.00	50.0%	0.0%	-50.0%
Draw or Away Double Chance	William HillBest price +5.0%	1.25	80.0%	0.0%	-80.0%
	Betfair	1.20	83.3%	0.0%	-83.3%
	Marathonbet	1.19	84.0%	0.0%	-84.0%
	10Bet	1.18	84.7%	0.0%	-84.7%
	Bet365	1.18	84.7%	0.0%	-84.7%
	Unibet	1.14	87.7%	0.0%	-87.7%
Home or Away Double Chance	William HillBest price +5.6%	1.20	83.3%	0.0%	-83.3%
	Betfair	1.14	87.7%	0.0%	-87.7%
	10Bet	1.12	89.3%	0.0%	-89.3%
	Bet365	1.12	89.3%	0.0%	-89.3%
	Marathonbet	1.12	89.3%	0.0%	-89.3%
	Unibet	1.12	89.3%	0.0%	-89.3%

Model reasoning

Os look more likely to control the match, with a strong away record of 12W-0D-3L and a much higher scoring output than Brann II, 60 goals scored versus 33. Their defense is also solid for the level, conceding 28 compared with Brann II’s 29, which supports the idea that Os can both score and avoid a collapse. The goal profile points toward a higher-scoring game. Os have scored 60 in 15 matches, while Brann II have conceded 29 in 15, creating a matchup where Os’s attack should have chances and Brann II may struggle to keep them out. The clean sheet counts are equal at 4 each, so shutouts are possible, but not dominant. With those factors, the Over 2.5 goals angle aligns with the probabilities given, at 77.0%, and both teams to score at 75.8%. Brann II’s recent form includes some inconsistency (LWWDL), which adds some variance, but Os’s five-match winning streak suggests they can keep the tempo high. Overall, the forecast leans toward goals rather than a tight low-scoring result, with medium risk because Brann II can still produce clean sheets occasionally and their recent form isn’t uniformly strong.

Recorded forecast

This forecast was recorded on Mon, 17 Aug 2026 14:13 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.

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Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.