Pro League
Pre-match
High risk

Al-Fateh vs Al-Ettifaq

Sat, Aug 22, 03:45 PMAl Fateh club stadium

AI prediction

BTTS Yes

Confidence 50/100

Model verdict
High risk

BTTS Yes

Al-Fateh (DLLWD) project at 1.5 expected goals versus 1.4 for Al-Ettifaq (WDWLD). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 50/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.

Confidence

50/100

Confidence
50/100

Strongest cover

12

73.9% probability

Risk classification

High

26.1% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

A win40.8%
Draw26.1%
A win33.1%

Goals

Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.555.7%
Under 2.544.3%

Both teams to score

Yes59.3%
No40.7%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Al-Fateh

5/15 recent form points

DLLWD
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.21
Shots on target
Unavailable

Al-Ettifaq

8/15 recent form points

WDWLD
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.50
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 5/10 and Over 2.5 in 7/10.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2025 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Al-Ettifaq 4-3 Al-Fateh

2026-02-19T20:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Al-Fateh 2-1 Al-Ettifaq

2025-10-24T16:45:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Al-Ettifaq 1-2 Al-Fateh

2025-02-14T16:05:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Al-Fateh 1-2 Al-Ettifaq

2024-09-14T17:20:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Al-Fateh 1-0 Al-Ettifaq

2024-04-03T21:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Al-Ettifaq 1-2 Al-Fateh

2023-10-05T20:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Al-Ettifaq 0-4 Al-Fateh

2023-05-22T18:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Al-Fateh 2-0 Al-Ettifaq

2023-01-12T12:30:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Al-Fateh 4-0 Al-Ettifaq

2022-02-27T15:15:00+01:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Al-Ettifaq 0-0 Al-Fateh

2021-09-30T19:20:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Al-Fateh at home have scored 41 goals and conceded 55 across 34 matches, with only 7 clean sheets, which suggests they can struggle to prevent goals. Their recent form includes multiple matches without a win (DLLWD), pointing to inconsistency in keeping games controlled. Al-Ettifaq away have scored 51 and conceded 55, with 9 clean sheets, indicating they are capable of scoring on the road while still allowing goals at a similar rate to Al-Fateh. Their recent form (WDWLD) also includes results where both sides likely contributed, supporting the idea of goals from both teams. With both teams’ season goal totals and relatively limited clean sheets, the matchup profile leans toward both teams finding the net. The probabilities provided align with this, with both teams to score at 59.3% and over 2.5 goals at 55.7%, though the confidence is only moderate and the risk is high, so it’s not a strong certainty. Overall, BTTS Yes fits the scoring tendencies shown by the season stats, while the close home win and away win probabilities (40.8% vs 33.1%) and the draw likelihood (26.1%) suggest the game could be tight even if both teams score.

Recorded forecast

This forecast was recorded on Fri, 21 Aug 2026 09:30 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.

Team hubs: Al-Fateh predictions · Al-Ettifaq predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.