Persha Liga
Finished
High risk

Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs Lokomotiv Kyiv

00Full time
Fri, Aug 14, 10:00 AMYunist Stadium

AI prediction

Home Win

Confidence 43/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
High risk

Home Win

Ahrobiznes Volochysk (LLWDW) project at 1.5 expected goals versus 0.9 for Lokomotiv Kyiv (DDLD). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 43/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.

Confidence

43/100

Confidence
43/100

Strongest cover

1X

81.1% probability

Risk classification

High

25.5% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

AV win55.6%
Draw25.5%
LK win18.9%

Goals

Over 1.569%
Over 2.542%
Under 2.558%

Both teams to score

Yes46.2%
No53.8%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Ahrobiznes Volochysk

7/15 recent form points

LLWDW
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.20
Shots on target
Unavailable

Lokomotiv Kyiv

3/12 recent form points

DDLD
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
0.75
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 0/1 and Over 2.5 in 0/1.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2025 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Ahrobiznes Volochysk 0-0 Lokomotiv Kyiv

2026-08-14T12:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Ahrobiznes Volochysk have the stronger overall season record at home, with 16 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses across 30 matches, plus 36 goals scored and 28 conceded. They also have 16 clean sheets, which suggests they can limit opponents even if their recent form is mixed (LLWDW). Lokomotiv Kyiv’s away sample is very small (4 matches), with no wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss. They’ve scored 3 and conceded 4 in those games, and they have 1 clean sheet, indicating they can stay competitive, but the lack of away wins keeps their upside limited. Given the home team’s better season profile and Lokomotiv’s winless away record, a home win is the most likely outcome among the three results, though the confidence is modest (43) and the risk is high. The goal-related probabilities are also fairly balanced, with both teams to score at 46.2% and over 2.5 goals at 42.0%, which points more toward a tighter match than a high-scoring one.

Recorded forecast

Final score

0-0

Pre-kickoff call

Under 2.5 Goals · 61.3% → Won

Ranked probability score

0.1287 (uniform ≈ 0.222)

Recorded Fri, 14 Aug 2026 07:30 UTC, before kickoff at 1.50 (10Bet), by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.

Team hubs: Ahrobiznes Volochysk predictions · Lokomotiv Kyiv predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.