AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia

Levski Sofia look more likely to avoid defeat, with a stronger away record (4W 3D 0L) and a solid goal profile across their 7 matches (10 scored, 3 conceded). AEK Athens have only played 1 home match so far, ending in a draw with no goals scored or conceded, which makes their attacking and defensive baseline less informative. For the goals angle, the probabilities lean toward a tighter game. Over 2.5 goals is at 35.5%, while both teams to score is at 43.1%, suggesting that even if Levski create chances, a low-scoring outcome is plausible. With AEK’s limited sample showing a clean sheet and zero goals, and Levski conceding only 3 in 7 matches, the under 2.5 goals call fits the overall scoring expectations. The confidence is modest (53) and the risk is high, mainly because AEK’s home data is based on just one match, so the true scoring level is harder to gauge.