Live

High risk

Žilina II vs Malženice

1–045′

Sun, Aug 23, 08:30 AM

AI prediction

BTTS Yes

Confidence 53/100

Model verdict

High risk

BTTS Yes

Žilina II (DLDLW) project at 1.5 expected goals versus 1.5 for Malženice (WDDLW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 53/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.

Confidence

53/100

Confidence

53/100

Strongest cover

74.1% probability

Risk classification

High

25.9% draw weight

Value status

Pass

No qualified price edge

Market sample

6 sources

53 price observations

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

ŽI win42.7%

Draw25.9%

M win31.4%

Goals

Over 1.580.2%

Over 2.556.6%

Under 2.543.4%

Both teams to score

Yes59.8%

No40.2%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Žilina II

5/15 recent form points

DLDLW

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.43
Shots on target: Unavailable

Malženice

8/15 recent form points

WDDLW

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.47
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 4/6 and Over 2.5 in 3/6.

Price interpretation

Value read

No qualified edge at this snapshot

None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline: 2025 season
Odds timestamp: Aug 23, 06:01 AM UTC
Optional coverage: H2H available · odds available
Confidence: Signal agreement score
Risk: High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Žilina II 1-1 Malženice

2026-05-03T10:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Malženice 2-1 Žilina II

2025-10-19T10:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Žilina II 1-0 Malženice

2025-03-16T10:30:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Malženice 0-1 Žilina II

2024-08-18T10:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Žilina II 4-3 Malženice

2024-03-31T10:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Malženice 1-2 Žilina II

2023-09-10T10:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

Market	Bookmaker	Odds	Implied	AI	Gap
Draw 1X2	Bet365Best price +2.6%	3.50	28.6%	25.9%	-2.7%
	Betfair	3.50	28.6%	25.9%	-2.7%
	BetVictor	3.50	28.6%	25.9%	-2.7%
	Marathonbet	3.42	29.2%	25.9%	-3.3%
	Unibet	3.35	29.9%	25.9%	-4.0%
	William Hill	3.20	31.3%	25.9%	-5.4%
Away 1X2	UnibetBest price +7.5%	3.10	32.3%	31.4%	-0.9%
	Bet365	3.00	33.3%	31.4%	-1.9%
	William Hill	2.80	35.7%	31.4%	-4.3%
	Marathonbet	2.80	35.7%	31.4%	-4.3%
	Betfair	2.80	35.7%	31.4%	-4.3%
	BetVictor	2.80	35.7%	31.4%	-4.3%
Home 1X2	William HillBest price +2.3%	2.20	45.5%	42.7%	-2.8%
	Bet365	2.20	45.5%	42.7%	-2.8%
	Betfair	2.20	45.5%	42.7%	-2.8%
	BetVictor	2.20	45.5%	42.7%	-2.8%
	Marathonbet	2.16	46.3%	42.7%	-3.6%
	Unibet	1.94	51.5%	42.7%	-8.8%
Under 2.5 Totals	Bet365Best price +1.4%	2.15	46.5%	43.4%	-3.1%
	BetVictor	2.15	46.5%	43.4%	-3.1%
	Marathonbet	2.12	47.2%	43.4%	-3.8%
	Betfair	2.10	47.6%	43.4%	-4.2%
	Unibet	2.08	48.1%	43.4%	-4.7%
Over 2.5 Totals	Bet365Best price +2.5%	1.67	59.9%	56.6%	-3.3%
	Betfair	1.65	60.6%	56.6%	-4.0%
	Marathonbet	1.63	61.3%	56.6%	-4.7%
	BetVictor	1.62	61.7%	56.6%	-5.1%
	Unibet	1.58	63.3%	56.6%	-6.7%
No BTTS	BetVictorBest price +4.8%	2.38	42.0%	40.2%	-1.8%
	William Hill	2.25	44.4%	40.2%	-4.2%
	Betfair	2.25	44.4%	40.2%	-4.2%
	Marathonbet	2.24	44.6%	40.2%	-4.4%
	Unibet	2.23	44.8%	40.2%	-4.6%
Yes BTTS	BetfairBest price +2.6%	1.57	63.7%	59.8%	-3.9%
	William Hill	1.55	64.5%	59.8%	-4.7%
	Marathonbet	1.53	65.4%	59.8%	-5.6%
	Unibet	1.50	66.7%	59.8%	-6.9%
	BetVictor	1.50	66.7%	59.8%	-6.9%
Draw or Away Double Chance	UnibetBest price +2.6%	1.63	61.3%	0.0%	-61.3%
	Bet365	1.62	61.7%	0.0%	-61.7%
	William Hill	1.57	63.7%	0.0%	-63.7%
	Betfair	1.57	63.7%	0.0%	-63.7%
	Marathonbet	1.55	64.5%	0.0%	-64.5%
Home or Draw Double Chance	William HillBest price +2.3%	1.36	73.5%	0.0%	-73.5%
	Bet365	1.36	73.5%	0.0%	-73.5%
	Betfair	1.36	73.5%	0.0%	-73.5%
	Marathonbet	1.33	75.2%	0.0%	-75.2%
	Unibet	1.24	80.6%	0.0%	-80.6%
Home or Away Double Chance	William HillBest price +3.8%	1.30	76.9%	0.0%	-76.9%
	Bet365	1.28	78.1%	0.0%	-78.1%
	Betfair	1.25	80.0%	0.0%	-80.0%
	Marathonbet	1.22	82.0%	0.0%	-82.0%
	Unibet	1.21	82.6%	0.0%	-82.6%

Model reasoning

Žilina II have scored 43 goals and conceded 59 across 30 matches, with only 5 clean sheets, which suggests they often allow at least one goal at home. Their recent form includes a mix of results (DLDLW), and the goal profile points toward games where both sides can get on the scoresheet. Malženice’s away record is stronger than Žilina II’s home record, with 13 wins and 10 clean sheets overall, and they’ve conceded 38 goals in 30 matches. Still, they are not shutting opponents out consistently, and their recent form (WDDLW) includes draws and a loss, which fits a scenario where they can concede as well. With both teams to score at 59.8% and over 2.5 goals at 56.6%, the matchup leans toward a BTTS Yes outcome rather than a low-scoring or one-sided result. The confidence is moderate (53) and the risk is high, so it’s a plausible bet but not a strong certainty given the variability in recent form and the relatively close win probabilities.

Recorded forecast

This forecast was recorded on Sun, 23 Aug 2026 08:15 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.

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Team hubs: Žilina II predictions · Malženice predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.