Major League Soccer
Pre-match
Medium risk

San Diego vs Houston Dynamo prediction

Thu, Oct 15, 02:30 AMSnapdragon Stadium

AI prediction

BTTS Yes

Confidence 70/100

Model verdict
Medium risk

BTTS Yes

San Diego (LLLDD) project at 1.4 expected goals versus 1.2 for Houston Dynamo (DWLDL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 70/100 confidence with medium risk.

Confidence

70/100

Confidence
70/100

Strongest cover

12

72.3% probability

Risk classification

Medium

27.7% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

SD win41%
Draw27.7%
HD win31.3%

Goals

Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.548.3%
Under 2.551.7%

Both teams to score

Yes53.4%
No46.6%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

San Diego

2/15 recent form points

LLLDD
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.74
Shots on target
Unavailable

Houston Dynamo

5/15 recent form points

DWLDL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.26
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 2/3 and Over 2.5 in 2/3.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2026 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
Medium · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Houston Dynamo 1-0 San Diego

2026-04-23T02:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Houston Dynamo 2-4 San Diego

2025-10-05T02:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

San Diego 3-4 Houston Dynamo

2025-07-06T04:30:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the BTTS Yes lean for San Diego vs Houston Dynamo. Data angle: the model weights recent form, attack and defensive stability. Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed. Risk warning: Medium risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Recorded forecast

Match is not completed yet. The recorded forecast, final score, and its track-record contribution appear here after settlement.

Team hubs: San Diego predictions · Houston Dynamo predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.