River Plate Res. vs Godoy Cruz Res.
AI prediction
Home Win
Confidence 76/100
Home Win
River Plate Res. (WLWDW) project at 1.8 expected goals versus 0.9 for Godoy Cruz Res. (WDWLD). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 76/100 confidence with medium risk. The strongest fair-price edge is Draw or Away at 17.9 percentage points.
Confidence
76/100
Strongest cover
1X
85.4% probability
Risk classification
Medium
20.7% draw weight
Value status
Draw or Away
+17.9 pp vs market
Market sample
6 sources
54 price observations
Full distribution
Market probabilities
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Evidence ledger
River Plate Res.
10/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 1.46
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Godoy Cruz Res.
8/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 1.10
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Matchup xG signal
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 3/5 and Over 2.5 in 3/5.
Price interpretation
Value read
Double Chance · Bet365
Draw or Away
Model edge
+17.9 pp
- Model
- 35.4%
- Market fair
- 17.4%
- Price
- 3.25
The model assigns this outcome a higher chance than the margin-adjusted market view. Its model-fair price is 2.82 versus 3.25 offered. That is a disagreement with the market, not a promise of profit.
Provenance
Model card
- Version
- livewin-hybrid-v0.6
- Data source
- Licensed live data feed
- Statistics baseline
- 2026 season
- Odds timestamp
- Aug 11, 08:02 PM UTC
- Optional coverage
- H2H available · odds available
- Confidence
- Signal agreement score
- Risk
- Medium · uncertainty remains
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.
Head-to-Head
Godoy Cruz Res. 1-0 River Plate Res.
2026-03-04T21:00:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
River Plate Res. 2-1 Godoy Cruz Res.
2025-08-13T23:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Godoy Cruz Res. 1-2 River Plate Res.
2025-03-20T19:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Godoy Cruz Res. 2-4 River Plate Res.
2023-03-11T13:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Godoy Cruz Res. 0-1 River Plate Res.
2022-07-09T15:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Odds Comparison
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Away 1X2 | BetfairBest price +6.7% | 6.00 | 16.7% | 14.6% | -2.1% |
| Marathonbet | 5.95 | 16.8% | 14.6% | -2.2% | |
| William Hill | 5.80 | 17.2% | 14.6% | -2.6% | |
| 10Bet | 5.75 | 17.4% | 14.6% | -2.8% | |
| Bet365 | 5.25 | 19.0% | 14.6% | -4.4% | |
| BetVictor | 5.00 | 20.0% | 14.6% | -5.4% | |
Draw 1X2 | Bet365Best price +6.2% | 4.33 | 23.1% | 20.7% | -2.4% |
| Betfair | 4.33 | 23.1% | 20.7% | -2.4% | |
| Marathonbet | 4.15 | 24.1% | 20.7% | -3.4% | |
| 10Bet | 4.10 | 24.4% | 20.7% | -3.7% | |
| William Hill | 3.80 | 26.3% | 20.7% | -5.6% | |
| BetVictor | 3.75 | 26.7% | 20.7% | -6.0% | |
Home 1X2 | Bet365Best price +4.0% | 1.48 | 67.6% | 64.7% | -2.9% |
| 10Bet | 1.44 | 69.4% | 64.7% | -4.7% | |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 69.4% | 64.7% | -4.7% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.42 | 70.4% | 64.7% | -5.7% | |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 71.4% | 64.7% | -6.7% | |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 73.5% | 64.7% | -8.8% | |
Under 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +7.2% | 2.35 | 42.6% | 41.6% | -1.0% |
| 10Bet | 2.25 | 44.4% | 41.6% | -2.8% | |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 44.4% | 41.6% | -2.8% | |
| Marathonbet | 2.17 | 46.1% | 41.6% | -4.5% | |
| BetVictor | 1.94 | 51.5% | 41.6% | -9.9% | |
Over 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +2.6% | 1.57 | 63.7% | 58.4% | -5.3% |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 63.7% | 58.4% | -5.3% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.55 | 64.5% | 58.4% | -6.1% | |
| 10Bet | 1.50 | 66.7% | 58.4% | -8.3% | |
| BetVictor | 1.46 | 68.5% | 58.4% | -10.1% | |
No BTTS | William HillBest price +3.1% | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.5% | -3.5% |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.5% | -3.5% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.96 | 51.0% | 46.5% | -4.5% | |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 55.6% | 46.5% | -9.1% | |
Yes BTTS | BetfairBest price +3.6% | 1.73 | 57.8% | 53.5% | -4.3% |
| William Hill | 1.70 | 58.8% | 53.5% | -5.3% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.70 | 58.8% | 53.5% | -5.3% | |
| BetVictor | 1.55 | 64.5% | 53.5% | -11.0% | |
Draw or Away Double Chance | Bet365Best price +22.0% | 3.25 | 30.8% | 0.0% | -30.8% |
| Betfair | 2.70 | 37.0% | 0.0% | -37.0% | |
| 10Bet | 2.62 | 38.2% | 0.0% | -38.2% | |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 40.0% | 0.0% | -40.0% | |
| Marathonbet | 2.46 | 40.7% | 0.0% | -40.7% | |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 40.8% | 0.0% | -40.8% | |
Home or Away Double Chance | William HillBest price +6.6% | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% |
| Betfair | 1.17 | 85.5% | 0.0% | -85.5% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.15 | 87.0% | 0.0% | -87.0% | |
| Bet365 | 1.14 | 87.7% | 0.0% | -87.7% | |
| 10Bet | 1.13 | 88.5% | 0.0% | -88.5% | |
| BetVictor | 1.06 | 94.3% | 0.0% | -94.3% | |
Home or Draw Double Chance | BetVictorBest price +3.7% | 1.13 | 88.5% | 0.0% | -88.5% |
| William Hill | 1.11 | 90.1% | 0.0% | -90.1% | |
| Betfair | 1.10 | 90.9% | 0.0% | -90.9% | |
| Bet365 | 1.08 | 92.6% | 0.0% | -92.6% | |
| 10Bet | 1.06 | 94.3% | 0.0% | -94.3% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.06 | 94.3% | 0.0% | -94.3% |
Model reasoning
Recorded forecast
This forecast was recorded on Tue, 11 Aug 2026 18:59 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
More predictions
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.