Leagues Cup
Finished
High risk

Real Salt Lake vs FC Juarez

3–0Full time
Wed, Aug 12, 01:30 AMAmerica First Field

AI prediction

BTTS Yes

Confidence 42/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
High risk

BTTS Yes

Real Salt Lake (WLW) project at 1.5 expected goals versus 1.3 for FC Juarez (WWL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 42/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.

Confidence

42/100

Confidence
42/100

Strongest cover

12

73.6% probability

Risk classification

High

26.4% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

RSL win40.8%
Draw26.4%
FJ win32.8%

Goals

Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.554%
Under 2.546%

Both teams to score

Yes58%
No42%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Real Salt Lake

6/9 recent form points

WLW
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
2.00
Shots on target
Unavailable

FC Juarez

6/9 recent form points

WWL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
2.67
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2025 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
No H2H · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Recent head-to-head data is unavailable on the current API tier.

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Real Salt Lake at home have scored 6 goals in 3 matches and conceded 5, with 1 clean sheet. Their recent form is WLW, suggesting they can produce goals but also allow chances, which keeps the door open for both teams to score. FC Juarez have scored 8 goals in 3 matches and conceded 5, with no clean sheets. Their recent form is WWL, and the combination of strong scoring output with goals conceded supports the idea that they may contribute offensively even if the match is not one-sided. The probabilities align with this: both teams to score is 58.0%, while over 2.5 goals is 54.0%. With a relatively high risk level and only moderate confidence (42), the matchup looks more like a competitive game where scoring from both sides is plausible rather than guaranteed. A draw is also fairly likely at 26.4%, so a BTTS outcome could come from either a tight 1-1 type result or a higher-scoring exchange.

Recorded forecast

Final score

3-0

Pre-kickoff call

BTTS Yes · 58.0% → Lost

Ranked probability score

0.229 (uniform ≈ 0.222)

Recorded Wed, 12 Aug 2026 00:34 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.

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Team hubs: Real Salt Lake predictions · FC Juarez predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.