Division 2 - Norrland
Pre-match
High risk

Gottne vs IFK Östersund

Wed, Aug 12, 05:00 PM

AI prediction

BTTS Yes

Confidence 61/100

Model verdict
High risk

BTTS Yes

Gottne (WWLLL) project at 1.9 expected goals versus 1.6 for IFK Östersund (WDDLW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 61/100 confidence with high risk.

Confidence

61/100

Confidence
61/100

Strongest cover

12

75.3% probability

Risk classification

High

24.7% draw weight

Value status

Pass

No qualified price edge

Market sample

6 sources

51 price observations

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

G win36.8%
Draw24.7%
IÖ win38.5%

Goals

Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.567.2%
Under 2.532.8%

Both teams to score

Yes69%
No31%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Gottne

6/15 recent form points

WWLLL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
2.14
Shots on target
Unavailable

IFK Östersund

8/15 recent form points

WDDLW
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
2.00
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 6/10 and Over 2.5 in 6/10.

Price interpretation

Value read

No qualified edge at this snapshot

None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2026 season
Odds timestamp
Aug 12, 12:11 PM UTC
Optional coverage
H2H available · odds available
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

IFK Östersund 1-3 Gottne

2026-05-30T13:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Gottne 3-3 IFK Östersund

2026-05-14T14:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Gottne 0-2 IFK Östersund

2025-09-13T15:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

IFK Östersund 3-2 Gottne

2025-09-07T13:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Gottne 3-1 IFK Östersund

2025-05-29T13:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

IFK Östersund 3-1 Gottne

2025-04-21T13:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

IFK Östersund 1-0 Gottne

2024-08-31T13:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Gottne 1-0 IFK Östersund

2024-04-27T16:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

IFK Östersund 0-1 Gottne

2023-09-09T13:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Gottne 2-1 IFK Östersund

2023-05-13T14:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

MarketBookmakerOddsImpliedAIGap
Draw
1X2
BetVictorBest price +7.5%3.8026.3%24.7%-1.6%
Marathonbet3.5228.4%24.7%-3.7%
1xBet3.5228.4%24.7%-3.7%
Unibet3.5028.6%24.7%-3.9%
Pinnacle3.4628.9%24.7%-4.2%
William Hill3.4029.4%24.7%-4.7%
Home
1X2
UnibetBest price +0.7%2.5040.0%36.8%-3.2%
BetVictor2.5040.0%36.8%-3.2%
Marathonbet2.4940.2%36.8%-3.4%
1xBet2.4940.2%36.8%-3.4%
Pinnacle2.4740.5%36.8%-3.7%
William Hill2.4540.8%36.8%-4.0%
Away
1X2
BetVictorBest price +2.7%2.3842.0%38.5%-3.5%
Marathonbet2.3442.7%38.5%-4.2%
1xBet2.3442.7%38.5%-4.2%
Pinnacle2.3243.1%38.5%-4.6%
William Hill2.3043.5%38.5%-5.0%
Unibet2.2344.8%38.5%-6.3%
Under 2.5
Totals
BetVictorBest price +8.2%3.0033.3%32.8%-0.5%
Marathonbet2.7836.0%32.8%-3.2%
1xBet2.7836.0%32.8%-3.2%
Unibet2.6537.7%32.8%-4.9%
Pinnacle2.6537.7%32.8%-4.9%
Over 2.5
Totals
PinnacleBest price +2.5%1.3971.9%67.2%-4.7%
Unibet1.3872.5%67.2%-5.3%
Marathonbet1.3474.6%67.2%-7.4%
1xBet1.3474.6%67.2%-7.4%
BetVictor1.3375.2%67.2%-8.0%
No
BTTS
BetVictorBest price +5.7%3.1331.9%31.0%-0.9%
1xBet3.0033.3%31.0%-2.3%
Marathonbet2.9234.2%31.0%-3.2%
William Hill2.8035.7%31.0%-4.7%
Yes
BTTS
William HillBest price +2.6%1.3673.5%69.0%-4.5%
Marathonbet1.3275.8%69.0%-6.8%
1xBet1.3275.8%69.0%-6.8%
BetVictor1.3076.9%69.0%-7.9%
Home or Draw
Double Chance
William HillBest price +2.4%1.5365.4%0.0%-65.4%
BetVictor1.5365.4%0.0%-65.4%
Marathonbet1.4768.0%0.0%-68.0%
Unibet1.4768.0%0.0%-68.0%
1xBet1.4768.0%0.0%-68.0%
Draw or Away
Double Chance
BetVictorBest price +2.4%1.4569.0%0.0%-69.0%
William Hill1.4469.4%0.0%-69.4%
Marathonbet1.4170.9%0.0%-70.9%
1xBet1.4170.9%0.0%-70.9%
Unibet1.3773.0%0.0%-73.0%
Home or Away
Double Chance
William HillBest price +2.8%1.2580.0%0.0%-80.0%
BetVictor1.2282.0%0.0%-82.0%
Marathonbet1.2182.6%0.0%-82.6%
1xBet1.2182.6%0.0%-82.6%
Unibet1.1984.0%0.0%-84.0%

Model reasoning

Gottne at home have scored 30 goals in 14 matches and conceded 28, which suggests fairly open games rather than consistent shutouts. Their recent form is mixed, with two wins followed by three losses in the last five, and they have 0 clean sheets this season, which points toward goals being conceded more often than not. IFK Östersund’s away record is steadier, with 5 wins and 5 draws in 14 matches, and they have conceded 24 goals while scoring 28. They also have 2 clean sheets overall, so they can keep games tighter at times, but their recent form includes two draws and two wins, which still aligns with a reasonable chance of both teams finding scoring opportunities. With both sides’ goal totals close to each other and Gottne lacking clean sheets, the matchup profile supports both teams scoring. The probabilities provided also lean strongly toward both teams to score and toward over 2.5 goals, even though the confidence is only moderate and the risk is high, reflecting the volatility in Gottne’s recent results. Overall, the BTTS Yes call fits the season scoring and concession patterns, with the game likely to produce at least a couple of goals for each team rather than a one-sided outcome.

Recorded forecast

This forecast was recorded on Wed, 12 Aug 2026 15:06 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.

Team hubs: Gottne predictions · IFK Östersund predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.