V.League 2
Pre-match
High risk

Pho Hien vs Long An prediction

Fri, Sep 11, 11:00 AMPVF Stadium

AI prediction

Home Win

Confidence 57/100

Model verdict
High risk

Home Win

Pho Hien (LDWWW) project at 1.7 expected goals versus 0.6 for Long An (DDDLL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 57/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.

Confidence

57/100

Confidence
57/100

Strongest cover

1X

94.0% probability

Risk classification

High

14.6% draw weight

Value status

Pass

No qualified price edge

Market sample

4 sources

31 price observations

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

PH win79.4%
Draw14.6%
LA win6%

Goals

Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.553.5%
Under 2.546.5%

Both teams to score

Yes35.3%
No64.7%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Pho Hien

10/15 recent form points

LDWWW
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.45
Shots on target
Unavailable

Long An

3/15 recent form points

DDDLL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
0.50
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 6/10 and Over 2.5 in 5/10.

Price interpretation

Value read

No qualified edge at this snapshot

None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2025 season
Odds timestamp
Sep 11, 06:47 AM UTC
Optional coverage
H2H available · odds available
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Pho Hien 3-0 Long An

2025-04-20T10:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Long An 0-0 Pho Hien

2024-10-27T10:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Pho Hien 4-1 Long An

2024-05-19T14:15:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Long An 2-2 Pho Hien

2023-12-03T11:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Long An 1-1 Pho Hien

2023-06-30T12:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Pho Hien 4-1 Long An

2023-05-27T14:15:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Pho Hien 1-2 Long An

2022-10-16T13:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Long An 0-0 Pho Hien

2022-03-17T11:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Pho Hien 1-1 Long An

2021-03-21T12:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Long An 0-0 Pho Hien

2020-07-19T12:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Odds Comparison

MarketBookmakerOddsImpliedAIGap
Away
1X2
1xBetBest price +14.1%15.006.7%6.0%-0.7%
Marathonbet14.257.0%6.0%-1.0%
Bet36512.008.3%6.0%-2.3%
Pinnacle11.338.8%6.0%-2.8%
Draw
1X2
Bet365Best price +9.6%6.2516.0%14.6%-1.4%
Marathonbet5.6017.9%14.6%-3.3%
1xBet5.6017.9%14.6%-3.3%
Pinnacle5.3518.7%14.6%-4.1%
Home
1X2
Bet365Best price +0.2%1.1785.5%79.4%-6.1%
Pinnacle1.1785.5%79.4%-6.1%
1xBet1.1785.5%79.4%-6.1%
Marathonbet1.1686.2%79.4%-6.8%
Under 2.5
Totals
Bet365Best price +1.5%2.0548.8%46.5%-2.3%
Marathonbet2.0149.8%46.5%-3.3%
Pinnacle2.0149.8%46.5%-3.3%
1xBet2.0149.8%46.5%-3.3%
Over 2.5
Totals
Bet365Best price +2.5%1.7557.1%53.5%-3.6%
Marathonbet1.7058.8%53.5%-5.3%
1xBet1.7058.8%53.5%-5.3%
Pinnacle1.6859.5%53.5%-6.0%
Yes
BTTS
MarathonbetBest price2.6038.5%35.3%-3.2%
1xBet2.6038.5%35.3%-3.2%
No
BTTS
1xBetBest price +0.7%1.4270.4%64.7%-5.7%
Marathonbet1.4071.4%64.7%-6.7%
Draw or Away
Double Chance
MarathonbetBest price +0.4%4.0524.7%0.0%-24.7%
1xBet4.0524.7%0.0%-24.7%
Bet3654.0025.0%0.0%-25.0%
Home or Away
Double Chance
Bet365Best price +0.6%1.0892.6%0.0%-92.6%
Marathonbet1.0793.5%0.0%-93.5%
1xBet1.0793.5%0.0%-93.5%
Home or Draw
Double Chance
Bet3651.0199.0%0.0%-99.0%

Model reasoning

Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the Home Win lean for Pho Hien vs Long An. Data angle: team strength uses the 2025 historical baseline and confidence is deliberately capped. Market angle: no qualified value edge clears the fair-price threshold. Risk warning: High risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Recorded forecast

This forecast was recorded on Fri, 11 Sep 2026 10:01 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.

More predictions

All V.League 2 predictions →

Team hubs: Pho Hien predictions · Long An predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.