Nosaby vs IFK Trelleborg

03Full time
Tue, Aug 18, 04:30 PM

AI prediction

BTTS Yes

Confidence 64/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
High risk

BTTS Yes

Nosaby (LDLWW) project at 1.5 expected goals versus 1.5 for IFK Trelleborg (WLWWW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 64/100 confidence with high risk.

Confidence

64/100

Confidence
64/100

Strongest cover

12

74.0% probability

Risk classification

High

26.0% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

N win37.5%
Draw26%
IT win36.5%

Goals

Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.556.4%
Under 2.543.6%

Both teams to score

Yes60.1%
No39.9%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Nosaby

7/15 recent form points

LDLWW
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.88
Shots on target
Unavailable

IFK Trelleborg

12/15 recent form points

WLWWW
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.88
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 5/7 and Over 2.5 in 5/7.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2026 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

IFK Trelleborg 1-1 Nosaby

2026-04-12T15:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

IFK Trelleborg 3-1 Nosaby

2025-08-17T15:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Nosaby 1-2 IFK Trelleborg

2025-05-02T19:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

IFK Trelleborg 3-4 Nosaby

2024-08-24T14:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Nosaby 3-0 IFK Trelleborg

2024-04-28T14:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Nosaby 3-1 IFK Trelleborg

2023-10-14T14:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

IFK Trelleborg 0-0 Nosaby

2023-06-18T16:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Nosaby at home have been relatively solid, with 7 wins in 16 matches and a goal record of 30 scored and 27 conceded. They’ve kept 4 clean sheets, but their conceded goals suggest they can be breached often enough for an opponent to score. IFK Trelleborg’s away profile looks stronger in defensive terms, conceding only 15 across 17 matches and recording 5 clean sheets. Offensively they’ve also been productive with 32 goals scored, and their recent form (WLWWW) points to consistent scoring and results. With both teams to score showing 60.1% and over 2.5 goals at 56.4%, the matchup leans toward a game where each side finds chances rather than a shutout. The win probabilities are close (home 37.5%, draw 26.0%, away 36.5%), which fits a more balanced, higher-variance script where goals can come from both teams. The confidence is moderate (64) and the risk is high, mainly because the outcomes are tightly spread and Nosaby’s concession rate means the “both teams score” angle can swing either way depending on how the game develops.

Recorded forecast

Final score

0-3

Pre-kickoff call

BTTS Yes · 60.2%

Recorded before kickoff; settlement runs after results are confirmed.

Team hubs: Nosaby predictions · IFK Trelleborg predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.