Monaro Panthers vs Canberra FC
2–3Full time
AI prediction
BTTS Yes
Confidence 68/100
BTTS Yes
Monaro Panthers (WWWDW) project at 2.1 expected goals versus 1.6 for Canberra FC (WWWWW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 68/100 confidence with high risk.
Confidence
68/100
Strongest cover
12
76.4% probability
Risk classification
High
23.6% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
6 sources
47 price observations
Full distribution
Market probabilities
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Evidence ledger
Monaro Panthers
13/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 3.56
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Canberra FC
15/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 3.17
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Matchup xG signal
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 6/10 and Over 2.5 in 7/10.
Price interpretation
Value read
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
Model card
- Version
- livewin-hybrid-v0.6
- Data source
- Licensed live data feed
- Statistics baseline
- 2026 season
- Odds timestamp
- Aug 15, 06:01 AM UTC
- Optional coverage
- H2H available · odds available
- Confidence
- Signal agreement score
- Risk
- High · uncertainty remains
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.
Head-to-Head
Canberra FC 4-1 Monaro Panthers
2026-05-24T07:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Canberra FC 1-2 Monaro Panthers
2025-09-13T11:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Canberra FC 0-2 Monaro Panthers
2025-07-12T09:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Monaro Panthers 2-3 Canberra FC
2025-06-11T11:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Canberra FC 3-0 Monaro Panthers
2025-05-18T07:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
Monaro Panthers 1-2 Canberra FC
2024-08-31T09:45:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Canberra FC 2-1 Monaro Panthers
2024-07-07T07:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Canberra FC 0-0 Monaro Panthers
2024-05-19T07:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Canberra FC 0-1 Monaro Panthers
2023-08-19T09:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Canberra FC 2-1 Monaro Panthers
2023-06-25T07:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Odds Comparison
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Draw 1X2 | Bet365Best price +9.3% | 4.00 | 25.0% | 23.6% | -1.4% |
| Betfair | 3.90 | 25.6% | 23.6% | -2.0% | |
| Marathonbet | 3.70 | 27.0% | 23.6% | -3.4% | |
| Unibet | 3.55 | 28.2% | 23.6% | -4.6% | |
| William Hill | 3.40 | 29.4% | 23.6% | -5.8% | |
| BetVictor | 3.40 | 29.4% | 23.6% | -5.8% | |
Away 1X2 | UnibetBest price +9.3% | 2.63 | 38.0% | 36.8% | -1.2% |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 40.8% | 36.8% | -4.0% | |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 41.7% | 36.8% | -4.9% | |
| Marathonbet | 2.38 | 42.0% | 36.8% | -5.2% | |
| Betfair | 2.38 | 42.0% | 36.8% | -5.2% | |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 45.5% | 36.8% | -8.7% | |
Home 1X2 | William HillBest price +4.3% | 2.40 | 41.7% | 39.6% | -2.1% |
| Marathonbet | 2.38 | 42.0% | 39.6% | -2.4% | |
| Betfair | 2.38 | 42.0% | 39.6% | -2.4% | |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 44.4% | 39.6% | -4.8% | |
| Unibet | 2.20 | 45.5% | 39.6% | -5.9% | |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 45.5% | 39.6% | -5.9% | |
Under 2.5 Totals | MarathonbetBest price +11.4% | 3.04 | 32.9% | 32.5% | -0.4% |
| Bet365 | 2.75 | 36.4% | 32.5% | -3.9% | |
| Unibet | 2.63 | 38.0% | 32.5% | -5.5% | |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 40.0% | 32.5% | -7.5% | |
Over 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +5.3% | 1.40 | 71.4% | 67.5% | -3.9% |
| Unibet | 1.38 | 72.5% | 67.5% | -5.0% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.29 | 77.5% | 67.5% | -10.0% | |
| BetVictor | 1.25 | 80.0% | 67.5% | -12.5% | |
No BTTS | MarathonbetBest price +13.9% | 3.14 | 31.8% | 32.2% | +0.4% |
| BetVictor | 2.63 | 38.0% | 32.2% | -5.8% | |
| Unibet | 2.50 | 40.0% | 32.2% | -7.8% | |
Yes BTTS | UnibetBest price +10.1% | 1.45 | 69.0% | 67.8% | -1.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.28 | 78.1% | 67.8% | -10.3% | |
| BetVictor | 1.22 | 82.0% | 67.8% | -14.2% | |
Draw or Away Double Chance | Bet365Best price +2.4% | 1.53 | 65.4% | 0.0% | -65.4% |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 66.7% | 0.0% | -66.7% | |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 66.7% | 0.0% | -66.7% | |
| Unibet | 1.49 | 67.1% | 0.0% | -67.1% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.45 | 69.0% | 0.0% | -69.0% | |
Home or Draw Double Chance | BetfairBest price +4.2% | 1.50 | 66.7% | 0.0% | -66.7% |
| BetVictor | 1.47 | 68.0% | 0.0% | -68.0% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.45 | 69.0% | 0.0% | -69.0% | |
| Bet365 | 1.44 | 69.4% | 0.0% | -69.4% | |
| Unibet | 1.34 | 74.6% | 0.0% | -74.6% | |
Home or Away Double Chance | BetfairBest price +3.1% | 1.20 | 83.3% | 0.0% | -83.3% |
| Marathonbet | 1.19 | 84.0% | 0.0% | -84.0% | |
| Unibet | 1.19 | 84.0% | 0.0% | -84.0% | |
| Bet365 | 1.17 | 85.5% | 0.0% | -85.5% | |
| BetVictor | 1.07 | 93.5% | 0.0% | -93.5% |
Model reasoning
Recorded forecast
Final score
2-3
Pre-kickoff call
BTTS Yes · 67.7%
Recorded before kickoff; settlement runs after results are confirmed.
More predictions
Team hubs: Monaro Panthers predictions · Canberra FC predictions
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.