Live

Medium risk

Jecheon Citizen vs Sejong SA

3–255′

Sun, Aug 23, 07:00 AM

AI prediction

BTTS Yes

Confidence 71/100

Model verdict

Medium risk

BTTS Yes

Jecheon Citizen (LWDLL) project at 1.5 expected goals versus 1.2 for Sejong SA (WWLWL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 71/100 confidence with medium risk.

Confidence

71/100

Confidence

71/100

Strongest cover

73.9% probability

Risk classification

Medium

26.1% draw weight

Value status

Pass

No qualified price edge

Market sample

6 sources

50 price observations

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

JC win42.1%

Draw26.1%

SS win31.8%

Goals

Over 1.575.9%

Over 2.554.4%

Under 2.545.6%

Both teams to score

Yes58%

No42%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Jecheon Citizen

4/15 recent form points

LWDLL

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.12
Shots on target: Unavailable

Sejong SA

9/15 recent form points

WWLWL

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.44
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 0/1 and Over 2.5 in 0/1.

Price interpretation

Value read

No qualified edge at this snapshot

None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline: 2026 season
Odds timestamp: Aug 23, 06:04 AM UTC
Optional coverage: H2H available · odds available
Confidence: Signal agreement score
Risk: Medium · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Sejong SA 0-0 Jecheon Citizen

2026-04-11T07:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Odds Comparison

Market	Bookmaker	Odds	Implied	AI	Gap
Draw 1X2	Bet365Best price +4.6%	3.50	28.6%	26.1%	-2.5%
	Marathonbet	3.42	29.2%	26.1%	-3.1%
	Betfair	3.40	29.4%	26.1%	-3.3%
	10Bet	3.35	29.9%	26.1%	-3.8%
	Unibet	3.30	30.3%	26.1%	-4.2%
	William Hill	3.10	32.3%	26.1%	-6.2%
Away 1X2	MarathonbetBest price +2.4%	2.85	35.1%	31.8%	-3.3%
	William Hill	2.80	35.7%	31.8%	-3.9%
	Bet365	2.80	35.7%	31.8%	-3.9%
	Betfair	2.80	35.7%	31.8%	-3.9%
	10Bet	2.75	36.4%	31.8%	-4.6%
	Unibet	2.70	37.0%	31.8%	-5.2%
Home 1X2	UnibetBest price +6.0%	2.28	43.9%	42.1%	-1.8%
	10Bet	2.15	46.5%	42.1%	-4.4%
	William Hill	2.15	46.5%	42.1%	-4.4%
	Marathonbet	2.13	46.9%	42.1%	-4.8%
	Bet365	2.10	47.6%	42.1%	-5.5%
	Betfair	2.10	47.6%	42.1%	-5.5%
Under 2.5 Totals	Bet365Best price +1.4%	2.05	48.8%	45.6%	-3.2%
	Marathonbet	2.02	49.5%	45.6%	-3.9%
	Unibet	2.02	49.5%	45.6%	-3.9%
	10Bet	2.00	50.0%	45.6%	-4.4%
Over 2.5 Totals	Bet365Best price +4.0%	1.75	57.1%	54.4%	-2.7%
	Marathonbet	1.69	59.2%	54.4%	-4.8%
	10Bet	1.65	60.6%	54.4%	-6.2%
	Unibet	1.64	61.0%	54.4%	-6.6%
No BTTS	UnibetBest price +2.9%	2.25	44.4%	42.0%	-2.4%
	Marathonbet	2.16	46.3%	42.0%	-4.3%
	William Hill	2.15	46.5%	42.0%	-4.5%
Yes BTTS	William HillBest price +1.7%	1.60	62.5%	58.0%	-4.5%
	Marathonbet	1.57	63.7%	58.0%	-5.7%
	Unibet	1.55	64.5%	58.0%	-6.5%
Draw or Away Double Chance	10BetBest price +2.6%	1.62	61.7%	0.0%	-61.7%
	Betfair	1.62	61.7%	0.0%	-61.7%
	William Hill	1.60	62.5%	0.0%	-62.5%
	Bet365	1.60	62.5%	0.0%	-62.5%
	Marathonbet	1.56	64.1%	0.0%	-64.1%
	Unibet	1.47	68.0%	0.0%	-68.0%
Home or Draw Double Chance	BetfairBest price +2.1%	1.36	73.5%	0.0%	-73.5%
	William Hill	1.35	74.1%	0.0%	-74.1%
	Bet365	1.33	75.2%	0.0%	-75.2%
	Unibet	1.33	75.2%	0.0%	-75.2%
	Marathonbet	1.32	75.8%	0.0%	-75.8%
	10Bet	1.30	76.9%	0.0%	-76.9%
Home or Away Double Chance	William HillBest price +4.4%	1.30	76.9%	0.0%	-76.9%
	Betfair	1.29	77.5%	0.0%	-77.5%
	10Bet	1.22	82.0%	0.0%	-82.0%
	Bet365	1.22	82.0%	0.0%	-82.0%
	Marathonbet	1.22	82.0%	0.0%	-82.0%
	Unibet	1.22	82.0%	0.0%	-82.0%

Model reasoning

Jecheon Citizen at home have scored 19 goals in 17 matches and conceded 22, with 5 clean sheets, which suggests they can be competitive but also allow goals often enough to keep both teams scoring in play. Their recent form includes multiple low-output results (LWDLL), but the overall home scoring and concession rates still point toward a match where goals are likely. Sejong SA away have scored 23 goals in 16 matches and conceded 25, with only 3 clean sheets, indicating they both contribute offensively and concede at a fairly regular rate on the road. Their recent form (WWLWL) also includes wins, which supports the idea that they can score even if the match is not one-sided. The combined probabilities align with this: both teams to score is 58.0%, and over 2.5 goals is 54.4%. With home win 42.1% and away win 31.8% versus a 26.1% draw, the game profile looks more like a competitive contest where scoring from both sides is plausible rather than a clear shutout scenario. So BTTS Yes fits best among the provided options, with a medium risk level and a 71 confidence score, but it’s not a lock given Jecheon’s recent form and the relatively close win/draw/away-win split.

Recorded forecast

This forecast was recorded on Sun, 23 Aug 2026 06:30 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.

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Team hubs: Jecheon Citizen predictions · Sejong SA predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.