Damallsvenskan
Pre-match
Medium risk

Häcken W vs AIK W

Sun, Aug 23, 11:00 AMNordic Wellness Arena

AI prediction

Home Win

Confidence 68/100

Model verdict
Medium risk

Home Win

Häcken W (WWWWW) project at 2.2 expected goals versus 1 for AIK W (LWLWL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 68/100 confidence with medium risk.

Confidence

68/100

Confidence
68/100

Strongest cover

1X

88.7% probability

Risk classification

Medium

17.1% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

HW win71.6%
Draw17.1%
AW win11.3%

Goals

Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.561.7%
Under 2.538.3%

Both teams to score

Yes55.7%
No44.3%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Häcken W

15/15 recent form points

WWWWW
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
2.77
Shots on target
Unavailable

AIK W

6/15 recent form points

LWLWL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.50
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 4/8 and Over 2.5 in 8/8.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2026 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
Medium · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

AIK W 2-1 Häcken W

2026-05-27T19:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Häcken W 3-0 AIK W

2026-03-15T13:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

AIK W 2-5 Häcken W

2025-09-27T13:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Häcken W 6-0 AIK W

2025-06-14T15:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Häcken W 4-0 AIK W

2024-09-07T15:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

AIK W 1-2 Häcken W

2024-05-18T15:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Häcken W 7-1 AIK W

2022-10-31T19:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

AIK W 0-3 Häcken W

2022-04-15T15:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Häcken W look stronger at home, with a 12W-0D-1L record from 13 matches and a strong goal profile of 36 scored and 11 conceded. They also keep the ball out of the net often, with 6 clean sheets, and their recent form is very consistent with five straight wins. AIK W’s away record is less convincing, with 7W-3D-4L across 14 matches, and their scoring and defending are more balanced but not dominant, at 21 goals for and 20 conceded. Their recent form is mixed, with a pattern that includes losses and wins rather than sustained momentum. The match outcome leans toward Häcken W, with the home win probability at 71.6% and a draw at 17.1%. There’s also a moderate-to-good chance of goals, with over 2.5 goals at 61.7%, and both teams to score at 55.7%, suggesting AIK W may be able to contribute even if Häcken W control the result. Overall, the home win aligns with Häcken W’s superior home record and defensive record, while the medium risk reflects AIK W’s ability to score sometimes and the possibility of a lower-scoring game.

Recorded forecast

This forecast was recorded on Sun, 23 Aug 2026 10:30 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.

Team hubs: Häcken W predictions · AIK W predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.