Eredivisie
Pre-match
High risk

GO Ahead Eagles vs ADO Den Haag

Sun, Aug 23, 10:15 AMDe Adelaarshorst

AI prediction

Home Win

Confidence 46/100

Model verdict
High risk

Home Win

GO Ahead Eagles (DDDLL) project at 2 expected goals versus 1.1 for ADO Den Haag (LLL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 46/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.

Confidence

46/100

Confidence
46/100

Strongest cover

1X

83.4% probability

Risk classification

High

20.3% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

GAE win63.1%
Draw20.3%
ADH win16.6%

Goals

Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.560.1%
Under 2.539.9%

Both teams to score

Yes58.5%
No41.5%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

GO Ahead Eagles

3/15 recent form points

DDDLL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.59
Shots on target
Unavailable

ADO Den Haag

0/9 recent form points

LLL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
0.67
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 4/7 and Over 2.5 in 4/7.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2025 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

ADO Den Haag 1-0 GO Ahead Eagles

2023-02-09T21:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

GO Ahead Eagles 3-1 ADO Den Haag

2017-02-11T19:45:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

ADO Den Haag 3-0 GO Ahead Eagles

2016-08-06T18:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

GO Ahead Eagles 1-0 ADO Den Haag

2015-01-25T16:45:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

ADO Den Haag 1-1 GO Ahead Eagles

2014-09-20T19:45:00+02:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

ADO Den Haag 3-2 GO Ahead Eagles

2014-02-21T20:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

GO Ahead Eagles 2-1 ADO Den Haag

2013-08-10T19:45:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

GO Ahead Eagles at home have a fairly balanced season record with 8 wins, 14 draws, and 12 losses, and their goals for and against are close (54 scored, 53 conceded). Their recent form is mixed, with four straight results showing no clear momentum (DDDLL), which helps explain why the confidence is not high. ADO Den Haag’s away sample provided is small and winless, with 0 wins in 3 matches and only 2 goals scored while conceding 9. They also have no clean sheets in those matches, so the matchup profile leans toward GO Ahead Eagles being able to create more scoring chances. The goal-related indicators also support a home-leaning outcome. Over 2.5 goals is projected at 60.1%, and both teams to score is projected at 58.5%, suggesting a game where GO Ahead Eagles can likely score, while ADO Den Haag may still find a goal despite their struggles. Overall, the home win probability is 63.1% with a confidence score of 46 and a high risk level, so the edge exists but it’s not strong enough to be very certain, especially given GO Ahead’s recent draw-heavy pattern.

Recorded forecast

This forecast was recorded on Sat, 22 Aug 2026 09:30 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.

Team hubs: GO Ahead Eagles predictions · ADO Den Haag predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.