UEFA Europa League
Pre-match
High risk

Ferencvarosi TC vs Trabzonspor

Thu, Aug 27, 06:30 PMGroupama Arena

AI prediction

Home Win

Confidence 54/100

Model verdict
High risk

Home Win

Ferencvarosi TC (WDWDW) project at 1.6 expected goals versus 0.8 for Trabzonspor (L). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 54/100 confidence with high risk.

Confidence

54/100

Confidence
54/100

Strongest cover

1X

86.0% probability

Risk classification

High

21.7% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

FT win64.3%
Draw21.7%
T win14%

Goals

Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.544.1%
Under 2.555.9%

Both teams to score

Yes45.5%
No54.5%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Ferencvarosi TC

11/15 recent form points

WDWDW
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.71
Shots on target
Unavailable

Trabzonspor

0/3 recent form points

L
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
0.00
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 1/3 and Over 2.5 in 1/3.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2026 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Trabzonspor 0-1 Ferencvarosi TC

2026-08-20T19:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Trabzonspor 1-0 Ferencvarosi TC

2022-11-03T18:45:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Ferencvarosi TC 3-2 Trabzonspor

2022-09-08T21:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Ferencvarosi TC have been strong at home in this sample, with 5 wins and 2 draws from 7 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 5. Their recent form is also steady with WDWDW, and they’ve kept 3 clean sheets, which supports a home edge. Trabzonspor’s away sample here is very limited, with 0 wins from 1 match and a 0-1 goal record. They’ve not recorded a clean sheet in this dataset, and their recent form is currently L, which makes it harder to justify confidence in an away win. The goal indicators are more mixed. Ferencvarosi’s defensive record (5 conceded in 7) and clean sheets suggest a lower-to-moderate scoring game, but the overall probabilities show only a slight lean toward goals, with over 2.5 goals at 44.1% and both teams to score at 45.5%. With home win priced as the most likely outcome (64.3%) but overall confidence only moderate (54) and the away dataset being small, the home win case looks plausible rather than assured.

Recorded forecast

Match is not completed yet. The recorded forecast, final score, and its track-record contribution appear here after settlement.

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Team hubs: Ferencvarosi TC predictions · Trabzonspor predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.