Superliga
Finished
Medium risk

FC Copenhagen vs AC Horsens result & prediction review

20Full time
Fri, Sep 11, 05:00 PMParken Stadium

AI prediction

Home Win

Confidence 71/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
Medium risk

Home Win

FC Copenhagen (LWWWW) project at 2.4 expected goals versus 0.9 for AC Horsens (WWLWL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 71/100 confidence with medium risk.

Confidence

71/100

Confidence
71/100

Strongest cover

1X

90.2% probability

Risk classification

Medium

16.1% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

FC win74.1%
Draw16.1%
AH win9.8%

Goals

Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.564.1%
Under 2.535.9%

Both teams to score

Yes54.9%
No45.1%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

FC Copenhagen

12/15 recent form points

LWWWW
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
2.75
Shots on target
Unavailable

AC Horsens

9/15 recent form points

WWLWL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.63
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 4/10 and Over 2.5 in 4/10.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2026 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
Medium · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

FC Copenhagen 2-0 AC Horsens

2026-09-11T19:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

FC Copenhagen 3-2 AC Horsens

2026-07-11T14:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

AC Horsens 1-4 FC Copenhagen

2023-03-12T16:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

FC Copenhagen 0-1 AC Horsens

2022-07-17T16:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

AC Horsens 0-2 FC Copenhagen

2021-02-07T16:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

FC Copenhagen 2-0 AC Horsens

2020-12-06T16:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

FC Copenhagen 0-1 AC Horsens

2020-03-08T16:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

AC Horsens 0-2 FC Copenhagen

2019-07-27T17:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

AC Horsens 1-6 FC Copenhagen

2018-12-02T16:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

FC Copenhagen 1-2 AC Horsens

2018-07-16T18:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the Home Win lean for FC Copenhagen vs AC Horsens. Data angle: the model weights recent form, attack and defensive stability. Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed. Risk warning: Medium risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Recorded forecast

Final score

2-0

Pre-kickoff call

Home Win · 68.9% → Won

Ranked probability score

0.0569 (uniform ≈ 0.222)

Recorded Fri, 11 Sep 2026 00:17 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.

Team hubs: FC Copenhagen predictions · AC Horsens predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.