Finished

Medium risk

Espanyol vs Levante result & prediction review

3–0Full time

Sun, Aug 16, 05:00 PMRCDE Stadium

AI prediction

Home Win

Confidence 71/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.

Model verdict

Medium risk

Home Win

Espanyol (LDWLL) project at 1.5 expected goals versus 1 for Levante (DWDLL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 71/100 confidence with medium risk.

Confidence

71/100

Confidence

71/100

Strongest cover

77.0% probability

Risk classification

Medium

26.4% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

E win50.6%

Draw26.4%

L win23%

Goals

Over 1.573.2%

Over 2.547.2%

Under 2.552.8%

Both teams to score

Yes50.9%

No49.1%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Espanyol

4/15 recent form points

LDWLL

xG / match: 1.35
xGA / match: 1.46
Goals / match: 1.43
Shots on target: Unavailable

Levante

5/15 recent form points

DWDLL

xG / match: 1.55
xGA / match: 2.22
Goals / match: 1.33
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

E derived xG

1.78

L derived xG

1.51

Derived by averaging each team's season xG per match with the opponent's xG conceded per match. Combined signal: 3.29. This is a transparent matchup indicator, not a separately trained score forecast.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 7/10 and Over 2.5 in 6/10.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline: 2026 season
Odds timestamp: No odds available
Optional coverage: H2H available · no odds
Confidence: Signal agreement score
Risk: Medium · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Espanyol 3-0 Levante

2026-08-16T19:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Espanyol 0-0 Levante

2026-04-27T21:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Levante 1-1 Espanyol

2026-01-11T16:15:00+01:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Espanyol 2-1 Levante

2024-02-04T18:30:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Levante 1-4 Espanyol

2023-09-08T21:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Levante 1-1 Espanyol

2022-03-12T14:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Espanyol 4-3 Levante

2021-12-11T14:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Espanyol 1-3 Levante

2020-06-20T14:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Levante 0-1 Espanyol

2019-10-27T15:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Levante 2-2 Espanyol

2019-04-21T12:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the Home Win lean for Espanyol vs Levante. Data angle: the model weights recent form, attack and defensive stability. Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed. Risk warning: Medium risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Recorded forecast

Final score

3-0

Pre-kickoff call

Home Win · 46.5% → Won

Ranked probability score

0.1801 (uniform ≈ 0.222)

Recorded Sat, 15 Aug 2026 09:30 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.

More La Liga predictions

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Team hubs: Espanyol predictions · Levante predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.