Live

Low risk

Dila vs Meshakhte

1–135′

Sun, Aug 16, 03:00 PMTengiz Burjanadze Stadium

AI prediction

Home Win

Confidence 79/100

Model verdict

Low risk

Home Win

Dila (LLLWW) project at 1.7 expected goals versus 0.8 for Meshakhte (LLDLL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 79/100 confidence with low risk.

Confidence

79/100

Confidence

79/100

Strongest cover

89.7% probability

Risk classification

Low

19.3% draw weight

Value status

Pass

No qualified price edge

Market sample

6 sources

49 price observations

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

D win70.4%

Draw19.3%

M win10.3%

Goals

Over 1.571.8%

Over 2.554.1%

Under 2.545.9%

Both teams to score

Yes45.5%

No54.5%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Dila

6/15 recent form points

LLLWW

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.11
Shots on target: Unavailable

Meshakhte

1/15 recent form points

LLDLL

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 0.70
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 0/2 and Over 2.5 in 0/2.

Price interpretation

Value read

No qualified edge at this snapshot

None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline: 2026 season
Odds timestamp: Aug 16, 08:29 AM UTC
Optional coverage: H2H available · odds available
Confidence: Signal agreement score
Risk: Low · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Meshakhte 0-2 Dila

2026-05-10T14:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Dila 0-1 Meshakhte

2026-03-12T17:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Odds Comparison

Market	Bookmaker	Odds	Implied	AI	Gap
Away 1X2	MarathonbetBest price +16.6%	9.40	10.6%	10.3%	-0.3%
	William Hill	8.50	11.8%	10.3%	-1.5%
	Pinnacle	8.21	12.2%	10.3%	-1.9%
	10Bet	8.00	12.5%	10.3%	-2.2%
	Betfair	8.00	12.5%	10.3%	-2.2%
	Bet365	6.25	16.0%	10.3%	-5.7%
Draw 1X2	BetfairBest price +7.9%	4.75	21.1%	19.3%	-1.8%
	Pinnacle	4.69	21.3%	19.3%	-2.0%
	Marathonbet	4.55	22.0%	19.3%	-2.7%
	10Bet	4.33	23.1%	19.3%	-3.8%
	Bet365	4.10	24.4%	19.3%	-5.1%
	William Hill	4.00	25.0%	19.3%	-5.7%
Home 1X2	Bet365Best price +6.5%	1.40	71.4%	70.4%	-1.0%
	Pinnacle	1.32	75.8%	70.4%	-5.4%
	10Bet	1.30	76.9%	70.4%	-6.5%
	William Hill	1.30	76.9%	70.4%	-6.5%
	Betfair	1.30	76.9%	70.4%	-6.5%
	Marathonbet	1.27	78.7%	70.4%	-8.3%
Under 2.5 Totals	BetfairBest price +3.0%	2.10	47.6%	45.9%	-1.7%
	Pinnacle	2.10	47.6%	45.9%	-1.7%
	Marathonbet	2.04	49.0%	45.9%	-3.1%
	Bet365	2.00	50.0%	45.9%	-4.1%
	10Bet	1.95	51.3%	45.9%	-5.4%
Over 2.5 Totals	Bet365Best price +5.9%	1.80	55.6%	54.1%	-1.5%
	Pinnacle	1.70	58.8%	54.1%	-4.7%
	Marathonbet	1.68	59.5%	54.1%	-5.4%
	10Bet	1.67	59.9%	54.1%	-5.8%
	Betfair	1.65	60.6%	54.1%	-6.5%
Yes BTTS	MarathonbetBest price +2.0%	2.06	48.5%	45.5%	-3.0%
	Betfair	2.05	48.8%	45.5%	-3.3%
	William Hill	1.95	51.3%	45.5%	-5.8%
No BTTS	BetfairBest price +2.6%	1.73	57.8%	54.5%	-3.3%
	William Hill	1.70	58.8%	54.5%	-4.3%
	Marathonbet	1.63	61.3%	54.5%	-6.8%
Draw or Away Double Chance	10BetBest price +6.8%	3.20	31.3%	0.0%	-31.3%
	Betfair	3.10	32.3%	0.0%	-32.3%
	Marathonbet	3.08	32.5%	0.0%	-32.5%
	William Hill	3.00	33.3%	0.0%	-33.3%
	Bet365	2.60	38.5%	0.0%	-38.5%
Home or Away Double Chance	William HillBest price +2.6%	1.18	84.7%	0.0%	-84.7%
	Bet365	1.17	85.5%	0.0%	-85.5%
	10Bet	1.15	87.0%	0.0%	-87.0%
	Betfair	1.13	88.5%	0.0%	-88.5%
	Marathonbet	1.12	89.3%	0.0%	-89.3%
Home or Draw Double Chance	Bet365Best price +3.4%	1.08	92.6%	0.0%	-92.6%
	William Hill	1.06	94.3%	0.0%	-94.3%
	Betfair	1.05	95.2%	0.0%	-95.2%
	Marathonbet	1.02	98.0%	0.0%	-98.0%
	10Bet	1.01	99.0%	0.0%	-99.0%

Model reasoning

Dila at home has a stronger overall record than Meshakhte, with 8 wins from 19 matches compared to Meshakhte’s 1 win from 20 away matches. Dila also has a slightly better goal profile, scoring 21 and conceding 19, while Meshakhte scores 14 and concedes 36, suggesting Dila is more likely to control the game and create more scoring chances. The recent form also leans toward Dila. Dila’s latest sequence is LLLWW, indicating a recent improvement, while Meshakhte’s is LLDLL, which points to limited momentum and fewer consistent results on the road. The goal-related indicators are mixed but still supportive of a home edge. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54.1%, and both teams to score is 45.5%, which suggests a game where Dila may not always be involved in a high-scoring exchange, but could still edge the match. With the home win probability at 70.4% and a low risk level, the most reasonable expectation is a Dila win, though the draw probability of 19.3% means a tight outcome remains possible.

Recorded forecast

This forecast was recorded on Sun, 16 Aug 2026 14:37 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.

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Team hubs: Dila predictions · Meshakhte predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.