Pre-match

Medium risk

Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante prediction

Fri, Oct 16, 07:00 PMEstadio Municipal de Riazor

AI prediction

Home Win

Confidence 67/100

Model verdict

Medium risk

Home Win

Deportivo La Coruna (WWDLD) project at 1.5 expected goals versus 1 for Levante (DWDLL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 67/100 confidence with medium risk.

Confidence

67/100

Confidence

67/100

Strongest cover

79.4% probability

Risk classification

Medium

25.7% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

DLC win53.7%

Draw25.7%

L win20.6%

Goals

Over 1.572%

Over 2.545.6%

Under 2.554.4%

Both teams to score

Yes49.3%

No50.7%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Deportivo La Coruna

8/15 recent form points

WWDLD

xG / match: 1.20
xGA / match: 1.49
Goals / match: 1.43
Shots on target: Unavailable

Levante

5/15 recent form points

DWDLL

xG / match: 1.55
xGA / match: 2.22
Goals / match: 1.33
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

DLC derived xG

1.71

L derived xG

1.52

Derived by averaging each team's season xG per match with the opponent's xG conceded per match. Combined signal: 3.23. This is a transparent matchup indicator, not a separately trained score forecast.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 6/10 and Over 2.5 in 6/10.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline: 2026 season
Odds timestamp: No odds available
Optional coverage: H2H available · no odds
Confidence: Signal agreement score
Risk: Medium · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Deportivo La Coruna 1-2 Levante

2025-01-25T18:30:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Levante 2-1 Deportivo La Coruna

2024-10-24T19:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Deportivo La Coruna 2-2 Levante

2018-01-27T13:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Levante 2-2 Deportivo La Coruna

2017-08-26T20:15:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Deportivo La Coruna 2-1 Levante

2016-03-19T20:30:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Levante 1-1 Deportivo La Coruna

2015-11-07T18:15:00+01:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Deportivo La Coruna 2-0 Levante

2015-05-17T19:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Levante 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna

2015-01-09T20:45:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Levante 0-4 Deportivo La Coruna

2013-04-13T18:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Deportivo La Coruna 0-2 Levante

2012-11-18T12:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the Home Win lean for Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante. Data angle: the model weights recent form, attack and defensive stability. Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed. Risk warning: Medium risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Recorded forecast

Match is not completed yet. The recorded forecast, final score, and its track-record contribution appear here after settlement.

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Team hubs: Deportivo La Coruna predictions · Levante predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.