UEFA Europa League
Pre-match
Medium risk

CSKA Sofia vs OFI

Thu, Aug 27, 06:00 PMNational Stadium Vasil Levski

AI prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Confidence 62/100

Model verdict
Medium risk

Under 2.5 Goals

CSKA Sofia (DWWLL) project at 1.3 expected goals versus 1.2 for OFI (W). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Under 2.5 Goals at 62/100 confidence with medium risk.

Confidence

62/100

Confidence
62/100

Strongest cover

12

71.5% probability

Risk classification

Medium

28.5% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

CS win38.9%
Draw28.5%
O win32.6%

Goals

Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.545.4%
Under 2.554.6%

Both teams to score

Yes51.4%
No48.6%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

CSKA Sofia

7/15 recent form points

DWWLL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.43
Shots on target
Unavailable

OFI

3/3 recent form points

W
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
3.00
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 0/1 and Over 2.5 in 1/1.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2026 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
Medium · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

OFI 3-0 CSKA Sofia

2026-08-20T20:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

CSKA Sofia at home have been relatively tight, with 10 goals scored and 9 conceded across 7 matches, plus 3 clean sheets. Their recent form shows inconsistency in results (DWWLL), but the overall goal profile suggests games are not routinely high-scoring. OFI’s away sample is extremely small, with 1 match played, 3 goals scored and 0 conceded, including a clean sheet. That defensive record supports the idea that they can keep the score controlled, even if the dataset is limited. The combined probabilities point toward fewer goals than a typical open game: both teams to score is listed at 51.4%, while over 2.5 goals is 45.4%. With those figures, the under 2.5 goals angle looks slightly more favorable than the over, aligning with CSKA’s modest home scoring and OFI’s clean-sheet outcome so far. Given the medium risk level and the limited away data for OFI, the match could still produce a couple of goals from either side, but the stats lean toward a total under 2.5.

Recorded forecast

Match is not completed yet. The recorded forecast, final score, and its track-record contribution appear here after settlement.

Team hubs: CSKA Sofia predictions · OFI predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.