Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union prediction
AI prediction
BTTS Yes
Confidence 71/100
BTTS Yes
Chicago Fire (DDLLW) project at 1.6 expected goals versus 1.4 for Philadelphia Union (WWWWW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 71/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
71/100
Strongest cover
12
74.7% probability
Risk classification
Medium
25.3% draw weight
Value status
Unpriced
Pre-match odds unavailable
Market sample
Unavailable
No pre-match quotes
Full distribution
Market probabilities
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Evidence ledger
Chicago Fire
5/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 1.77
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Philadelphia Union
15/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 2.00
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Matchup xG signal
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 6/10 and Over 2.5 in 8/10.
Price interpretation
Value read
Odds unavailable for this fixture
The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.
Provenance
Model card
- Version
- livewin-hybrid-v0.6
- Data source
- Licensed live data feed
- Statistics baseline
- 2026 season
- Odds timestamp
- No odds available
- Optional coverage
- H2H available · no odds
- Confidence
- Signal agreement score
- Risk
- Medium · uncertainty remains
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.
Head-to-Head
Philadelphia Union 1-2 Chicago Fire
2026-03-21T21:30:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Chicago Fire 0-3 Philadelphia Union
2025-11-01T22:30:00+01:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union 2-2 Chicago Fire
2025-10-26T22:30:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union 4-0 Chicago Fire
2025-08-24T01:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
Chicago Fire 0-1 Philadelphia Union
2025-06-26T02:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Chicago Fire 4-3 Philadelphia Union
2024-07-04T02:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union 2-2 Chicago Fire
2024-02-25T01:30:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Chicago Fire 2-2 Philadelphia Union
2023-04-16T02:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union 1-0 Chicago Fire
2023-03-12T01:30:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Philadelphia Union 4-1 Chicago Fire
2022-08-14T01:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Odds Comparison
No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.
Model reasoning
Recorded forecast
Match is not completed yet. The recorded forecast, final score, and its track-record contribution appear here after settlement.
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Team hubs: Chicago Fire predictions · Philadelphia Union predictions
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.