Chengdu Rongcheng II vs Jiangxi Liansheng

Chengdu Rongcheng II have scored 18 goals in 21 matches and conceded 23, with 6 clean sheets, which suggests they can keep games relatively controlled at times but still allow a moderate amount of scoring. Their recent form is mixed, with results reading DLWWD, indicating some ability to avoid defeat but not consistent dominance in attack. Jiangxi Liansheng have scored 24 goals in 21 matches and conceded 19, with 8 clean sheets, pointing to a slightly stronger overall balance than the home side. Their recent form is also mixed but more positive overall, reading LDWWL, and they have shown they can both score and limit opponents. The goal market leans toward a lower-scoring game: the probability for over 2.5 goals is 38.6%, while both teams to score is 45.2%. With those figures, Under 2.5 goals aligns better with the expected scoring pattern than Over 2.5, even though the match is fairly tight in outcome terms (home win 36.0%, draw 30.9%, away win 33.1%). Confidence is moderate-to-high for the Under 2.5 angle (confidenceScore 72), but the risk is still high because the scoring probabilities are not extreme and both teams have enough offensive output to keep the match from being clearly one-sided.