Leagues Cup
Finished
High risk

Charlotte vs CF Pachuca

0–1Full time
Tue, Aug 11, 11:30 PMBank of America Stadium

AI prediction

BTTS Yes

Confidence 35/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
High risk

BTTS Yes

Charlotte (LLW) project at 1.4 expected goals versus 1.4 for CF Pachuca (WLWL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 35/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.

Confidence

35/100

Confidence
35/100

Strongest cover

12

73.7% probability

Risk classification

High

26.3% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

C win36.2%
Draw26.3%
CP win37.5%

Goals

Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.553.2%
Under 2.546.8%

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Charlotte

3/9 recent form points

LLW
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.67
Shots on target
Unavailable

CF Pachuca

6/12 recent form points

WLWL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.75
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2025 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
No H2H · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Recent head-to-head data is unavailable on the current API tier.

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Charlotte have scored 5 goals and conceded 7 across 3 matches, with only 1 clean sheet. Their recent form shows two losses and one win (LLW), suggesting they can concede even when they do find goals. CF Pachuca have scored 7 and conceded 7 across 4 matches, with no clean sheets recorded. Their recent form (WLWL) includes both wins and losses, and the equal goals for and against points to a fairly open pattern rather than consistent shutouts. With both teams to score at 57.6% and over 2.5 goals at 53.2%, the matchup profile leans toward goals at both ends, even though the overall goal expectation is only slightly above average. The draw probability is relatively close to either side’s win chances, which can also fit a scenario where both teams get on the scoresheet. The BTTS Yes call is supported by the season-level scoring and concession rates on both sides, but the confidence is modest (35) and the risk is high, so it’s better viewed as a plausible lean than a strong certainty.

Recorded forecast

Final score

0-1

Pre-kickoff call

BTTS Yes · 57.6% → Lost

Ranked probability score

0.2608 (uniform ≈ 0.222)

Recorded Tue, 11 Aug 2026 19:03 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.

More predictions

All Leagues Cup predictions →

Team hubs: Charlotte predictions · CF Pachuca predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.