Damallsvenskan
Finished
Medium risk

Brommapojkarna W vs Häcken W

06Full time
Sat, Aug 15, 12:00 PMGrimsta IP

AI prediction

Away Win

Confidence 68/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
Medium risk

Away Win

Brommapojkarna W (LWLLD) project at 1.1 expected goals versus 2.1 for Häcken W (WWWWW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Away Win at 68/100 confidence with medium risk.

Confidence

68/100

Confidence
68/100

Strongest cover

X2

83.8% probability

Risk classification

Medium

19.5% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

BW win16.2%
Draw19.5%
HW win64.3%

Goals

Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.562.8%
Under 2.537.2%

Both teams to score

Yes60.3%
No39.7%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Brommapojkarna W

4/15 recent form points

LWLLD
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.27
Shots on target
Unavailable

Häcken W

15/15 recent form points

WWWWW
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
3.00
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 4/10 and Over 2.5 in 8/10.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2026 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
Medium · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Brommapojkarna W 0-6 Häcken W

2026-08-15T14:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Häcken W 3-2 Brommapojkarna W

2026-03-29T15:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Brommapojkarna W 0-6 Häcken W

2025-10-19T14:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Häcken W 6-1 Brommapojkarna W

2025-05-11T15:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Brommapojkarna W 1-5 Häcken W

2024-11-09T14:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Häcken W 2-0 Brommapojkarna W

2024-05-05T15:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Häcken W 4-0 Brommapojkarna W

2023-10-14T15:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Brommapojkarna W 0-6 Häcken W

2023-06-11T13:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Häcken W 1-0 Brommapojkarna W

2022-09-24T15:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Brommapojkarna W 1-5 Häcken W

2022-06-05T13:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Häcken W look stronger in both results and underlying performance. They have a dominant away record with 13 wins from 14 matches and only one loss, while Brommapojkarna W at home have struggled with 5 wins and 9 losses from 15 matches. The goal profile also favors Häcken W. Häcken have scored 42 and conceded just 11 overall, including 7 clean sheets, whereas Brommapojkarna have scored 19 and conceded 32 and have 0 clean sheets. That gap suggests Häcken are more likely to control the match and limit Brommapojkarna’s scoring chances. Recent form supports this direction as well. Brommapojkarna’s latest run is LWLLD, indicating inconsistency and difficulty turning matches into wins, while Häcken’s recent form is WWWWW, showing strong momentum. With Häcken’s edge in both defensive solidity and scoring, an away win is the most likely outcome (64.3%). The match also leans toward over 2.5 goals (62.8%) and both teams to score (60.3%), though the medium risk reflects that Brommapojkarna can still find goals despite their overall defensive record.

Recorded forecast

Final score

0-6

Pre-kickoff call

Away Win · 57.4% → Won

Ranked probability score

0.112 (uniform ≈ 0.222)

Recorded Sat, 15 Aug 2026 11:32 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.

Team hubs: Brommapojkarna W predictions · Häcken W predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.