Youth Championship
Finished
Medium risk

Almaz Antey U19 vs Dinamo Moskva U19

43Full time
Fri, Aug 14, 10:00 AM

AI prediction

BTTS Yes

Confidence 69/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
Medium risk

BTTS Yes

Almaz Antey U19 (WWDLW) project at 2 expected goals versus 1.5 for Dinamo Moskva U19 (WWLLL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 69/100 confidence with medium risk.

Confidence

69/100

Confidence
69/100

Strongest cover

12

75.1% probability

Risk classification

Medium

24.9% draw weight

Value status

Pass

No qualified price edge

Market sample

3 sources

23 price observations

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

AAU win42.8%
Draw24.9%
DMU win32.3%

Goals

Over 1.586.4%
Over 2.566%
Under 2.534%

Both teams to score

Yes68%
No32%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Almaz Antey U19

10/15 recent form points

WWDLW
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.74
Shots on target
Unavailable

Dinamo Moskva U19

6/15 recent form points

WWLLL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.53
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 1/2 and Over 2.5 in 1/2.

Price interpretation

Value read

No qualified edge at this snapshot

None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2026 season
Odds timestamp
Aug 14, 08:28 AM UTC
Optional coverage
H2H available · odds available
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
Medium · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Almaz Antey U19 4-3 Dinamo Moskva U19

2026-08-14T12:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Dinamo Moskva U19 1-0 Almaz Antey U19

2026-04-03T18:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Odds Comparison

MarketBookmakerOddsImpliedAIGap
Draw
1X2
DafabetBest price +0.6%3.5528.2%24.9%-3.3%
Marathonbet3.5228.4%24.9%-3.5%
1xBet3.5228.4%24.9%-3.5%
Away
1X2
1xBetBest price +1.2%2.8035.7%32.3%-3.4%
Marathonbet2.7536.4%32.3%-4.1%
Dafabet2.7536.4%32.3%-4.1%
Home
1X2
DafabetBest price +1.2%2.2145.2%42.8%-2.4%
1xBet2.1845.9%42.8%-3.1%
Marathonbet2.1646.3%42.8%-3.5%
Under 2.5
Totals
MarathonbetBest price2.6637.6%34.0%-3.6%
1xBet2.6637.6%34.0%-3.6%
Over 2.5
Totals
MarathonbetBest price1.3773.0%66.0%-7.0%
1xBet1.3773.0%66.0%-7.0%
No
BTTS
1xBetBest price +1.0%2.9034.5%32.0%-2.5%
Marathonbet2.8435.2%32.0%-3.2%
Yes
BTTS
MarathonbetBest price1.3574.1%68.0%-6.1%
1xBet1.3574.1%68.0%-6.1%
Draw or Away
Double Chance
MarathonbetBest price1.5564.5%0.0%-64.5%
1xBet1.5564.5%0.0%-64.5%
Home or Draw
Double Chance
MarathonbetBest price1.3574.1%0.0%-74.1%
1xBet1.3574.1%0.0%-74.1%
Home or Away
Double Chance
MarathonbetBest price1.2282.0%0.0%-82.0%
1xBet1.2282.0%0.0%-82.0%

Model reasoning

Almaz Antey U19 have scored 33 goals in 19 matches but also conceded 43, and they’ve kept only 1 clean sheet. Dinamo Moskva U19 have a lower scoring total at 29 goals, yet they’ve conceded 36 and managed 4 clean sheets, suggesting they can shut games down sometimes but are not consistently preventing goals. The recent form leans toward both teams being involved in matches with goals. Almaz Antey’s sequence is WWDLW, while Dinamo’s is WWLLL, which includes multiple losses where they still may have allowed scoring opportunities. With both sides’ season goal profiles showing more conceded than clean sheets, the matchup supports the idea that each team finds the net. The probabilities align with this: both teams to score is 68.0%, and over 2.5 goals is 66.0%. That combination points to a game where scoring is likely on both ends rather than a tight, one-sided shutout. With confidence at 69 and risk marked medium, the main uncertainty is Dinamo’s ability to keep clean sheets in some games (4 in 19) and the fact that both teams’ records include enough losses to allow for a lower-scoring outcome than expected.

Recorded forecast

Final score

4-3

Pre-kickoff call

BTTS Yes · 67.9% → Won

Ranked probability score

0.2181 (uniform ≈ 0.222)

Recorded Fri, 14 Aug 2026 09:00 UTC, before kickoff at 1.35 (Marathonbet), by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.

Team hubs: Almaz Antey U19 predictions · Dinamo Moskva U19 predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.