Pro League
Finished
High risk

Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Fateh

11Full time
Wed, Aug 26, 04:00 PMAl Majma'ah Sport City

AI prediction

BTTS Yes

Confidence 37/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
High risk

BTTS Yes

Al-Faisaly FC (LLD) project at 1.5 expected goals versus 1.3 for Al-Fateh (DLLWD). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 37/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2026 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.

Confidence

37/100

Confidence
37/100

Strongest cover

12

73.9% probability

Risk classification

High

26.1% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

AF win40.6%
Draw26.1%
A win33.3%

Goals

Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.553.8%
Under 2.546.2%

Both teams to score

Yes57.6%
No42.4%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Al-Faisaly FC

1/9 recent form points

LLD
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.00
Shots on target
Unavailable

Al-Fateh

5/15 recent form points

DLLWD
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.21
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 8/10 and Over 2.5 in 5/10.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2026 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Al-Faisaly FC 1-1 Al-Fateh

2026-08-26T18:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Al-Faisaly FC 1-0 Al-Fateh

2022-03-17T15:45:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Al-Fateh 4-1 Al-Faisaly FC

2022-02-22T15:15:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Al-Faisaly FC 2-3 Al-Fateh

2021-04-10T17:55:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Al-Fateh 3-2 Al-Faisaly FC

2020-12-27T14:35:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Al-Fateh 2-2 Al-Faisaly FC

2020-02-15T15:10:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Al-Faisaly FC 3-2 Al-Fateh

2019-09-15T19:10:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Al-Faisaly FC 1-1 Al-Fateh

2019-04-05T17:55:00+02:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Al-Fateh 1-1 Al-Faisaly FC

2018-12-13T14:30:00+01:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Al-Faisaly FC 0-2 Al-Fateh

2018-03-10T15:45:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Al-Faisaly FC have struggled to keep games tight at home, with 3 goals scored and 7 conceded across 3 matches and no clean sheets. Their recent sequence is LLD, which suggests they’ve been conceding consistently rather than controlling scoring. Al-Fateh’s away profile is mixed, but they have enough defensive leakage to support a scoring outcome. They’ve conceded 55 goals across 34 matches and have 7 clean sheets, so they’re not shutting out opponents regularly, even if their results include some draws and wins. With both sides showing limited clean-sheet reliability, the matchup leans toward both teams finding goals. The probabilities provided also align with this, with both teams to score at 57.6% and over 2.5 goals at 53.8%, though the confidence is relatively low (37) and the risk is high. A draw is also plausible given Al-Faisaly’s 1 draw in 3 and Al-Fateh’s 10 draws in 34, but the BTTS Yes angle is the most supported by the scoring and concession figures provided.

Recorded forecast

Final score

1-1

Pre-kickoff call

BTTS Yes · 58.5%

Recorded before kickoff; settlement runs after results are confirmed.

Team hubs: Al-Faisaly FC predictions · Al-Fateh predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.