King's Cup
Finished
High risk

Al-Adalah vs Al-Fayha

02Full time
Mon, Aug 17, 06:00 PMPrince Abdullah bin Jalawi Stadium

AI prediction

Away Win

Confidence 35/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
High risk

Away Win

Al-Adalah (L) project at 1.3 expected goals versus 1.4 for Al-Fayha (WWL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Away Win at 35/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.

Confidence

35/100

Confidence
35/100

Strongest cover

12

73.7% probability

Risk classification

High

26.3% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

A win30.2%
Draw26.3%
A win43.5%

Goals

Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.548.7%
Under 2.551.3%

Both teams to score

Yes54.1%
No45.9%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Al-Adalah

0/3 recent form points

L
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
0.00
Shots on target
Unavailable

Al-Fayha

6/9 recent form points

WWL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
2.00
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 5/9 and Over 2.5 in 3/9.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2025 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Al-Adalah 0-2 Al-Fayha

2026-08-17T20:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Al-Fayha 1-1 Al-Adalah

2023-03-17T14:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Al-Adalah 2-1 Al-Fayha

2022-10-07T20:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Al-Fayha 1-0 Al-Adalah

2021-03-17T14:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Al-Adalah 0-0 Al-Fayha

2020-11-30T15:25:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Al-Fayha 2-0 Al-Adalah

2020-09-04T19:35:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Al-Adalah 1-1 Al-Fayha

2020-01-09T14:45:00+01:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Al-Adalah 2-5 Al-Fayha

2017-03-18T13:35:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Al-Fayha 2-1 Al-Adalah

2016-11-05T13:15:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Al-Fayha has the stronger results profile in this sample, with 2 wins from 3 matches compared to Al-Adalah’s 0 wins from 1 match. Al-Fayha also looks more stable defensively, allowing 2 goals in 3 matches and keeping 2 clean sheets, while Al-Adalah has conceded 2 goals in their only match and has no clean sheets. In scoring terms, Al-Fayha has produced 6 goals across 3 matches, whereas Al-Adalah has scored 0 in their single appearance. That gap aligns with the probabilities showing a higher chance for an away win (43.5%) than for a home win (30.2%), with the draw still remaining plausible (26.3%). The goal-related outlook is mixed but leans slightly toward goals: over 2.5 goals is at 48.7%, and both teams to score is at 54.1%. With Al-Fayha’s clean sheets in the data, the “both teams to score” lean suggests some uncertainty, but overall the match profile supports Al-Fayha edging the result rather than a clear one-sided game. Given the limited match counts for both sides, the confidence is relatively low (35) and the risk is high. The away win case is supported more by Al-Fayha’s better win rate and goal/defense record than by any dominant, consistent scoring advantage.

Recorded forecast

Final score

0-2

Pre-kickoff call

Away Win · 43.5% → Won

Ranked probability score

0.2052 (uniform ≈ 0.222)

Recorded Mon, 17 Aug 2026 17:04 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.

Team hubs: Al-Adalah predictions · Al-Fayha predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.