ADO Den Haag vs Groningen
1–4Full timeAI prediction
Away Win
Confidence 38/100
Away Win
ADO Den Haag (LLL) project at 1.3 expected goals versus 1.5 for Groningen (LLWWL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Away Win at 38/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2026 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.
Confidence
38/100
Strongest cover
12
75.3% probability
Risk classification
High
24.7% draw weight
Value status
Unpriced
Pre-match odds unavailable
Market sample
Unavailable
No pre-match quotes
Full distribution
Market probabilities
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Evidence ledger
ADO Den Haag
0/9 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 0.67
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Groningen
6/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 1.40
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Matchup xG signal
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 2/9 and Over 2.5 in 2/9.
Price interpretation
Value read
Odds unavailable for this fixture
The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.
Provenance
Model card
- Version
- livewin-hybrid-v0.6
- Data source
- Licensed live data feed
- Statistics baseline
- 2026 season
- Odds timestamp
- No odds available
- Optional coverage
- H2H available · no odds
- Confidence
- Signal agreement score
- Risk
- High · uncertainty remains
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.
Head-to-Head
ADO Den Haag 1-4 Groningen
2026-08-16T12:15:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
ADO Den Haag 0-2 Groningen
2024-03-29T20:00:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Groningen 0-1 ADO Den Haag
2023-09-15T20:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Groningen 3-0 ADO Den Haag
2021-01-26T21:00:00+01:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
ADO Den Haag 0-1 Groningen
2020-09-20T12:15:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
ADO Den Haag 1-1 Groningen
2019-12-14T18:30:00+01:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Groningen 1-0 ADO Den Haag
2019-03-17T14:30:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
ADO Den Haag 1-0 Groningen
2018-10-06T18:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Groningen 0-0 ADO Den Haag
2018-02-11T16:45:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Odds Comparison
No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.
Model reasoning
Recorded forecast
Final score
1-4
Pre-kickoff call
Away Win · 41.4% → Won
Ranked probability score
0.2248 (uniform ≈ 0.222)
Recorded Sun, 16 Aug 2026 08:28 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.
More predictions
Team hubs: ADO Den Haag predictions · Groningen predictions
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.