Zorya Luhansk (WDWDW) project at 1.3 expected goals versus 1 for Kolos Kovalivka (WWLLW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Under 2.5 Goals at 54/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.
Confidence
54/100
Zorya Luhansk 2-2 Kolos Kovalivka
2026-03-28T12:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Kolos Kovalivka 1-1 Zorya Luhansk
2026-03-15T14:30:00+01:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Zorya Luhansk 1-3 Kolos Kovalivka
2025-09-14T14:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Zorya Luhansk 0-3 Kolos Kovalivka
2025-03-30T17:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
Kolos Kovalivka 1-0 Zorya Luhansk
2024-11-16T12:00:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Kolos Kovalivka 1-0 Zorya Luhansk
2024-09-23T14:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
This forecast was recorded on Fri, 31 Jul 2026 12:38 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
AI prediction
Under 2.5 Goals
Confidence 54/100
Strongest cover
1X
72.2% probability
Risk classification
High
29.2% draw weight
Value status
Unpriced
Pre-match odds unavailable
Market sample
Unavailable
No pre-match quotes
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Zorya Luhansk
11/15 recent form points
Kolos Kovalivka
9/15 recent form points
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 4/10 and Over 2.5 in 4/10.
Price interpretation
Odds unavailable for this fixture
The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.
Provenance
Under 2.5
Zorya Luhansk 0-1 Kolos Kovalivka
2024-05-25T14:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Kolos Kovalivka 0-1 Zorya Luhansk
2024-05-09T14:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Kolos Kovalivka 3-1 Zorya Luhansk
2023-09-09T02:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Kolos Kovalivka 0-1 Zorya Luhansk
2023-04-21T14:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.