AI prediction
Home Win
Žalgiris II (LWWWD) project at 1.8 expected goals versus 0.9 for Kauno Žalgiris II (DLLLW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 72/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
72/100
Kauno Žalgiris II 0-1 Žalgiris II
2026-04-12T14:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Žalgiris II 1-0 Kauno Žalgiris II
2025-09-20T14:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Kauno Žalgiris II 2-3 Žalgiris II
2025-05-16T18:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Žalgiris II 5-3 Kauno Žalgiris II
2023-11-08T17:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Kauno Žalgiris II 2-3 Žalgiris II
2023-06-26T18:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Žalgiris II 2-1 Kauno Žalgiris II
2021-08-21T13:00:00+02:00
BTTS
This forecast was recorded on Mon, 10 Aug 2026 05:25 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
Confidence 72/100
Strongest cover
1X
78.7% probability
Risk classification
Medium
23.5% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
6 sources
51 price observations
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Žalgiris II
10/15 recent form points
Kauno Žalgiris II
4/15 recent form points
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 6/9 and Over 2.5 in 6/9.
Price interpretation
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
Over 2.5
Kauno Žalgiris II 2-4 Žalgiris II
2021-04-26T17:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Žalgiris II 0-2 Kauno Žalgiris II
2020-10-04T15:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Kauno Žalgiris II 2-5 Žalgiris II
2020-07-04T16:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Away 1X2 | BetfairBest price +7.3% | 4.20 | 23.8% | 21.3% | -2.5% |
| Bet365 | 4.10 | 24.4% | 21.3% | -3.1% | |
| 10Bet | 4.00 | 25.0% | 21.3% | -3.7% | |
| Unibet | 3.90 | 25.6% | 21.3% | -4.3% | |
| BetVictor | 3.75 | 26.7% | 21.3% | -5.4% | |
| Pinnacle | 3.53 | 28.3% | 21.3% | -7.0% | |
Draw 1X2 | Bet365Best price +7.8% | 3.90 | 25.6% | 23.5% | -2.1% |
| Betfair | 3.80 | 26.3% | 23.5% | -2.8% | |
| 10Bet | 3.70 | 27.0% | 23.5% | -3.5% | |
| Unibet | 3.65 | 27.4% | 23.5% | -3.9% | |
| Pinnacle | 3.35 | 29.9% | 23.5% | -6.4% | |
| BetVictor | 3.30 | 30.3% | 23.5% | -6.8% | |
Home 1X2 | PinnacleBest price +5.1% | 1.75 | 57.1% | 55.2% | -1.9% |
| Unibet | 1.71 | 58.5% | 55.2% | -3.3% | |
| 10Bet | 1.67 | 59.9% | 55.2% | -4.7% | |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 59.9% | 55.2% | -4.7% | |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 61.7% | 55.2% | -6.5% | |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 63.7% | 55.2% | -8.5% | |
Under 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +8.1% | 2.30 | 43.5% | 42.8% | -0.7% |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 45.5% | 42.8% | -2.7% | |
| 10Bet | 2.15 | 46.5% | 42.8% | -3.7% | |
| Unibet | 2.15 | 46.5% | 42.8% | -3.7% | |
| Pinnacle | 2.04 | 49.0% | 42.8% | -6.2% | |
| BetVictor | 1.93 | 51.8% | 42.8% | -9.0% | |
Over 2.5 Totals | PinnacleBest price +3.8% | 1.63 | 61.3% | 57.2% | -4.1% |
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 62.5% | 57.2% | -5.3% | |
| Betfair | 1.60 | 62.5% | 57.2% | -5.3% | |
| Unibet | 1.57 | 63.7% | 57.2% | -6.5% | |
| 10Bet | 1.55 | 64.5% | 57.2% | -7.3% | |
| BetVictor | 1.47 | 68.0% | 57.2% | -10.8% | |
No BTTS | BetfairBest price +5.8% | 2.25 | 44.4% | 42.5% | -1.9% |
| Unibet | 2.20 | 45.5% | 42.5% | -3.0% | |
| BetVictor | 1.93 | 51.8% | 42.5% | -9.3% | |
Yes BTTS | BetfairBest price +3.4% | 1.60 | 62.5% | 57.5% | -5.0% |
| Unibet | 1.57 | 63.7% | 57.5% | -6.2% | |
| BetVictor | 1.47 | 68.0% | 57.5% | -10.5% | |
Draw or Away Double Chance | Bet365Best price +5.4% | 2.10 | 47.6% | 0.0% | -47.6% |
| 10Bet | 2.05 | 48.8% | 0.0% | -48.8% | |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 50.0% | 0.0% | -50.0% | |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 51.3% | 0.0% | -51.3% | |
| Unibet | 1.86 | 53.8% | 0.0% | -53.8% | |
Home or Away Double Chance | BetfairBest price +2.9% | 1.20 | 83.3% | 0.0% | -83.3% |
| Bet365 | 1.18 | 84.7% | 0.0% | -84.7% | |
| Unibet | 1.18 | 84.7% | 0.0% | -84.7% | |
| 10Bet | 1.17 | 85.5% | 0.0% | -85.5% | |
| BetVictor | 1.10 | 90.9% | 0.0% | -90.9% | |
Home or Draw Double Chance | Bet365Best price +2.5% | 1.17 | 85.5% | 0.0% | -85.5% |
| Betfair | 1.17 | 85.5% | 0.0% | -85.5% | |
| Unibet | 1.16 | 86.2% | 0.0% | -86.2% | |
| 10Bet | 1.14 | 87.7% | 0.0% | -87.7% | |
| BetVictor | 1.07 | 93.5% | 0.0% | -93.5% |
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.